Werder Bremen - Augsburg prediction 19 September 2026

The Werder Bremen vs Augsburg prediction for the Bundesliga clash on Sep 19, 2026, at 13:30 in Weserstadion points to an extremely tight contest. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, both sides enter with a 35% win probability, while the draw stands at 30%. No clear favourite emerges, making this one of the most balanced matchups of the round.

Team Form

Werder Bremen come into this match with a mixed bag of results. Their last five outings read D, W, L, W, W, including a 1-1 draw at FC Koln, a 3-1 home win over RB Leipzig, and a heavy 4-1 defeat at SC Freiburg. In the Bundesliga, they have collected 3 points from 2 games (1 win, 1 loss), scoring 4 and conceding 5. The home form is perfect so far – the 3-1 victory against Leipzig – but the overall picture lacks consistency.

Augsburg, on the other hand, are flying high. Their last five results show D, W, W, W, L, with the only blemish a friendly loss to Leeds United. In the league, they are unbeaten: a 2-2 draw with Bayer Leverkusen, a stunning 4-1 away win at Eintracht Frankfurt, and a 3-0 home demolition of Schalke 04. With 6 points and a +6 goal difference, Augsburg sit top of the table and carry serious momentum into this fixture.

Head-to-Head Record

The all-time head-to-head record between Werder Bremen and Augsburg is remarkably even: 12 home wins, 1 draw, and 13 away wins. However, recent meetings heavily favour the visitors. In the last five encounters, Augsburg have won three, Werder Bremen one, with one draw. The most recent clash, on May 2, 2026, ended 3-1 to Augsburg at Weserstadion. That away win underlines Augsburg's ability to get a result in Bremen.

League Table Positions

A quick glance at the Bundesliga standings highlights the gap in early-season form. Augsburg are 1st with 6 points from 2 games, having scored 7 and conceded just 1. Werder Bremen sit 11th with 3 points, a negative goal difference (4 scored, 5 conceded). While the sample is small, Augsburg’s perfect start gives them a psychological edge.

Win Probability: Werder Bremen or Augsburg?

Bookmakers’ odds imply a home win probability around 40%, a draw at 33%, and an away win at 27% (based on the inverse of odds like 2.05, 2.50, 3.00). However, after adjusting for Augsburg’s superior form, top-of-the-table position, and dominant recent H2H record, the true probabilities shift. Our calculation gives Werder Bremen a 35% chance of winning, the draw a 30% chance, and Augsburg a 35% chance. It is a genuine coin toss, with the visitors holding a fractional edge thanks to their current momentum.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for the Werder Bremen vs Augsburg match vary across bookmakers. Examples include 2.40 – 4.00 – 2.86 and 2.05 – 2.50 – 3.00 for home, draw, and away respectively. The market sees Werder Bremen as the nominal favourite, but the tight pricing reflects the uncertainty. Based on the stats, this fixture is too close to call with confidence. Augsburg’s red-hot form and strong away record (4-1 at Frankfurt) make them a tempting betting tip, but Werder Bremen’s perfect home league record cannot be ignored. A draw is a very realistic outcome. For those seeking a match prediction, the value may lie in backing Augsburg or the draw in what promises to be a closely fought Bundesliga encounter.