Bayern Munich - Union Berlin prediction 18 September 2026
Bayern Munich
Union Berlin
SC FreiburgBayern MunichBayern MunichArsenal FCBayern MunichRB LeipzigVikingBayern MunichAugsburgBayern MunichBayern MunichUnion BerlinSV ElversbergBayern MunichBayern MunichBodo/GlimtSchalke 04Bayern MunichVfL OsnabruckBayern MunichBayern MunichVfB StuttgartHeidenheimBayern MunichBayern MunichRB LeipzigAston VillaBayern MunichJeju UnitedBayern MunichAugsburgUnion BerlinUnion BerlinBorussia DortmundUnion BerlinSV ElversbergRijekaUnion BerlinBayern MunichUnion BerlinUnion BerlinSchalke 04Bayer LeverkusenUnion BerlinUnion BerlinEintracht FrankfurtEintracht BraunschweigUnion BerlinUnion BerlinIpswich TownUnion BerlinCagliariDynamo DresdenUnion BerlinAarauUnion BerlinWinterthurUnion BerlinCarl Zeiss JenaUnion BerlinBayern MunichUnion BerlinBayern MunichUnion BerlinUnion BerlinBayern MunichUnion BerlinBayern MunichUnion BerlinBayern MunichBayern MunichUnion BerlinBayern MunichUnion BerlinBayern MunichUnion BerlinUnion BerlinBayern MunichUnion BerlinBayern MunichBayern MunichUnion BerlinUnion BerlinBayern MunichUnion BerlinBayern MunichBayern MunichUnion BerlinUnion BerlinBayern MunichBayern MunichUnion BerlinBayern MunichUnion Berlin| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | +19 | 17 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 12 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 |  FC Koln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Monchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 3 |
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin Prediction (Sep 18)
Our Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin prediction for the Bundesliga match on Sep 18 at Allianz Arena points to a clear home favorite. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, Bayern Munich has a 78% chance of winning, while Union Berlin faces an uphill battle with just a 5% win probability.
Team Form
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich comes into this match in scintillating form, having won four and drawn one of their last five outings. They demolished Bodo/Glimt 5-0 in the Champions League, played a goalless draw at Schalke 04, then cruised past VfL Osnabruck 4-1 in the DFB Pokal. A 5-1 thrashing of VfB Stuttgart and a 4-2 friendly win over Heidenheim followed, showcasing their attacking firepower.
Union Berlin
Union Berlin, by contrast, has struggled recently with three losses, one draw, and just one win in their last five. They fell 1-3 at home to Schalke 04, were crushed 4-0 by Bayer Leverkusen, and drew 3-3 with Eintracht Frankfurt. A 4-2 DFB Pokal win at Eintracht Braunschweig was a bright spot, but a 2-4 friendly loss to Ipswich Town underlined their defensive frailties.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Bayern Munich. In 16 previous meetings, Bayern has won 10 and drawn 6, with Union Berlin yet to register a single victory. The last five encounters have seen Bayern win three times and draw twice, including a 4-0 home win in March 2026 and a 3-2 away win in the DFB Pokal in December 2025.
League Table Positions
Bayern Munich sits 6th in the Bundesliga table with 4 points from 2 matches, having scored 5 goals and conceded just 1. Union Berlin is outside the top 12, indicating a slow start to their campaign. The gap in league standing further underscores Bayern's superiority.
Win Probability: Bayern Munich or Union Berlin?
Our win probability calculation gives Bayern Munich a 78% chance of victory, the draw a 17% chance, and Union Berlin just a 5% chance. These percentages are derived from the betting odds (which implied a ~75% home win probability after removing the bookmaker margin) and adjusted upward based on Bayern's dominant form, perfect head-to-head record, and home advantage. Union Berlin's poor recent results and historical struggles against Bayern make an away win highly unlikely.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have priced Bayern Munich as short as 1.07 to win, with the draw around 4.33 and an away win at 11.00. These odds reflect the gulf in class between the two sides. Our prediction: Bayern Munich to win comfortably. Based on the stats, a home win to nil or a -1.5 handicap could also offer value.
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin โ FAQ
- Who will win Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin?
- Bayern Munich is the strong favorite to win, with a 78% win probability. Union Berlin has only a 5% chance, while the draw stands at 17%.
- What is the win probability for Bayern Munich?
- Bayern Munich has a 78% chance of winning this match. This high probability is based on their dominant head-to-head record, excellent recent form, and home advantage at Allianz Arena.
- When is the Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin match?
- The match is on Sep 18 at 18:30, in the Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers offer odds around 1.22 for a Bayern Munich win, 4.33 for a draw, and 11.00 for a Union Berlin victory. These odds reflect Bayern's status as the clear favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin?
- Bayern Munich has never lost to Union Berlin in 16 meetings, with 10 wins and 6 draws. In their last five encounters, Bayern won three and drew two.