Borussia Monchengladbach - SC Paderborn 07 prediction 31 October 2026

The Borussia Monchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction for October 31, 2026, points towards a home victory in this Bundesliga clash at Borussia-Park. Based on the data, Borussia Monchengladbach enters the match as the clear favorite with a 54% win probability, while SC Paderborn 07 has a 22% chance of causing an upset.

Team Form

Borussia Monchengladbach's recent form shows a mixed bag with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five outings (W, L, L, D, W). Their most recent Bundesliga match was a thrilling 3-2 away victory against VfB Stuttgart on Oct 23. Before that, they suffered back-to-back league defeats against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (1-2 at home) and FC Koln (1-2 away). A 1-1 friendly draw with FC St. Pauli and a 3-0 friendly win over Sportfreunde Siegen complete the picture.

SC Paderborn 07 has collected three wins, one draw, and one loss (W, D, L, W, W) over their last five matches. Their latest result was a 1-0 home win against Hamburger SV on Oct 24. Prior to that, they earned a 2-2 away draw at Werder Bremen and lost 0-2 at home to VfB Stuttgart. Friendly wins against D.C. United (1-0) and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (3-1) round out their recent schedule.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Borussia Monchengladbach. In six previous meetings, Monchengladbach has five wins to SC Paderborn 07's single victory, with no draws. The most recent encounter was a Friendly Clubs match on Jul 17, 2021, where Paderborn won 3-1. However, in the last two Bundesliga meetings, Monchengladbach secured a 3-1 away win on Jun 20, 2020, and a 2-0 home victory on Dec 18, 2019.

League Table Positions

Looking at the Bundesliga standings, SC Paderborn 07 sits in 12th place with 8 points from 7 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), scoring 6 goals and conceding 9. Borussia Monchengladbach is not listed in the provided top-12 overall table, suggesting they occupy a lower position, though their exact rank and points are unavailable. The away standings show Paderborn's road form data isn't included, while Monchengladbach's home position is also not detailed in the available home table, indicating both sides have been inconsistent so far this season.

Win Probability: Borussia Monchengladbach or SC Paderborn 07?

After analyzing all available data, the win probability calculation is as follows: Borussia Monchengladbach has a 54% chance of winning, the draw stands at 24%, and SC Paderborn 07 has a 22% chance. This calculation is primarily based on the average bookmaker odds (inverse of the odds, normalized), which see Monchengladbach as a strong favorite. The probability is further adjusted upwards for the home side due to a dominant head-to-head record (5 wins in 6 games) and the home advantage at Borussia-Park. Paderborn's slightly better recent form keeps their chances competitive, but the historical data and odds suggest an away win is unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

According to the available odds, bookmakers clearly see Borussia Monchengladbach as the favorite. The best available odds for a home win are 1.90, while a draw can be backed at odds as high as 3.90, and an SC Paderborn 07 away win is priced around 3.30 to 3.60. Based on the stats, head-to-head dominance, and odds, Borussia Monchengladbach is the more likely winner. However, with both teams showing inconsistent form, a home win remains a strong but not certain betting tip.