Eintracht Frankfurt - SC Freiburg prediction 19 September 2026

Our Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg prediction for the Bundesliga match on Sep 19, 2026, gives SC Freiburg a 40% win probability, with Eintracht Frankfurt at 30% and the draw at 30%. The game kicks off at 13:30 UTC at Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt, and based on current form, the visitors are the slight favourites.

Team Form

Eintracht Frankfurt’s recent results have been mixed. In their last five outings across all competitions, they recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses (W, L, D, W, L). Their most recent Bundesliga results include a 3-1 away win at Mainz 05 on Sep 12, a 1-4 home defeat to Augsburg on Sep 06, and a 3-3 draw at Union Berlin on Aug 29. A 0-7 friendly loss at Brentford and an 11-0 cup win over Teutonia St. Tonis complete the sequence. Defensively, they have conceded 15 goals in these five matches, a worrying trend.

SC Freiburg, on the other hand, are in perfect form with five wins from five. Their last five matches all ended in victories: a 5-0 demolition of Borussia Monchengladbach on Sep 12, a 1-0 win at SC Paderborn 07 on Sep 05, a 4-1 home win over Werder Bremen on Aug 30, a 4-1 defeat of Motherwell in the Conference League qualifiers, and a 5-1 DFB Pokal win at Fortuna Dusseldorf. They have scored 18 goals and conceded only 3 in that span, showcasing a potent attack and solid defence.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, Eintracht Frankfurt have dominated this fixture. In the last five meetings, they have won three and drawn two, with SC Freiburg yet to win. The most recent clash on Mar 1, 2026, saw Eintracht Frankfurt win 2-0 at home. Before that, on Oct 19, 2025, the teams drew 2-2 in Freiburg. Eintracht Frankfurt also won 3-1 away in May 2025 and 4-1 at home in January 2025. The overall H2H record across all venues shows 4 home wins for Eintracht Frankfurt, 4 draws, and just 1 away win for SC Freiburg, underlining the home team’s historical edge.

League Table Positions

SC Freiburg are flying high in the Bundesliga, sitting 2nd with 6 points from 2 matches (5 goals scored, 1 conceded). Their away record stands at 1 win from 1 game. Eintracht Frankfurt are not present in the top 12 of the early-season standings, indicating they are lower down the table. The home side’s missing top-half ranking contrasts sharply with Freiburg’s perfect start, giving the visitors a clear advantage in terms of current league standing.

Win Probability: Eintracht Frankfurt or SC Freiburg?

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Eintracht Frankfurt 30%, draw 30%, SC Freiburg 40%. These numbers are derived from bookmaker odds (averaging around 2.31 for a home win, 2.73 for a draw, and 2.88 for an away win), which were then adjusted to remove the bookmaker margin. We further refined them based on SC Freiburg’s perfect form, Eintracht Frankfurt’s inconsistency (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in their last five), and the head-to-head record—though Eintracht Frankfurt hold a historical advantage, current momentum strongly favours the away side. Therefore, SC Freiburg is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds, with one set showing a home win at 2.20, a draw at 2.50, and an away win at 3.00. This implies the market views Eintracht Frankfurt as slight favourites, but our probability model, factoring in recent form and league positions, makes SC Freiburg the value pick. Our final Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg prediction is an away win for SC Freiburg, though a draw remains a plausible outcome given the close nature of the fixture.