| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | +12 | 15 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | +6 | 12 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 11 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 10 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 10 | |
| 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 | |
| 7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 | |
| 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:14 | -9 | 4 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:12 | -11 | 0 |
Our Energetik Mingechevir vs Ganjabasar FK prediction for the Sep 17, 2026 match in the Azerbaijan 1 Division points strongly to a home victory. With kickโoff scheduled for 12:30, Energetik Mingechevir are the clear favourites, holding a 46% win probability according to bookmaker odds and our exclusive win probability calculation. This betting tip examines team form, headโtoโhead data and league positions to answer the key question: who will win this game?
Energetik Mingechevir come into this fixture with a mixed set of results: two wins, one draw and two losses in their last five outings. Their most recent match was a 2โ1 away defeat to Sabail FC on Sep 10. A week earlier, they drew 2โ2 at home with PFK Simurq Zaqatala on Sep 4. Looking further back to May, they suffered a 2โ0 defeat at Qabala in the Premyer Liqa, but bounced back with two impressive home wins in the 1 Division โ a 4โ1 thrashing of Sabail FC on May 22 and a 3โ1 victory over MOIK Baku on May 15. Those two home games saw Energetik score seven goals, showing their potential in front of their own fans. There is no recent form data available for Ganjabasar FK, so their current momentum remains an unknown factor.
There is no previous headโtoโhead history between Energetik Mingechevir and Ganjabasar FK. The two sides have never met, making this a firstโever competitive encounter.
After two rounds of the 1 Division season, Energetik Mingechevir sit 6th in the overall standings with 1 point (0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and a goal difference of 3โ4. At home they are ranked 5th, having drawn their only home match 2โ2 against PFK Simurq Zaqatala. Ganjabasar FK do not appear in the current league table, suggesting they have yet to play a match this campaign or are newly registered.
Based on the betting odds and the limited statistical data, we calculate the following win probabilities:
These figures start from the 1X2 odds โ 2.00 home, 2.40 draw, 5.50 away โ with the bookmaker margin removed. The raw implied probabilities were then adjusted slightly in favour of Energetik Mingechevir because of their proven home scoring form and the complete absence of performance data for Ganjabasar FK. The numbers clearly lean towards the hosts. Energetik Mingechevir are the most likely winners of this match.
Bookmakers have priced Energetik Mingechevir as the strong favourite. The 1X2 odds are: Energetik Mingechevir 2.00, Draw 2.40, Ganjabasar FK 5.50. The home win odds imply a 46% chance once the margin is removed, which matches our win probability assessment. Considering the hostsโ decent endโofโseason home performances and the unknown strength of the visitors, a home victory is the most probable outcome. Our final Energetik Mingechevir vs Ganjabasar FK prediction is a home win.