Sabah Baku FC - FK MKT Araz Imisli prediction 19 September 2026

Sabah Baku FC vs FK MKT Araz Imisli prediction for their Premyer Liqa clash on Sep 19, 2026, at 15:45. Sabah Baku FC enters as the strong favorite with a win probability around 75% based on odds, recent form, and head-to-head record. FK MKT Araz Imisli faces an uphill battle away from home.

Team Form

Sabah Baku FC is in excellent shape. They have won four of their last five matches across all competitions, only falling to Manchester United in the UEFA Champions League. In domestic play, they crushed Zira 5-0 at home, won 1-0 away at Araz Nakchivan, and defeated Safa Baku 3-0 on the road. Their attack is firing, and they are yet to drop points in the Premyer Liqa this season.

FK MKT Araz Imisli’s recent results paint a different picture. In their last five outings, they have managed just one win, one draw, and three losses. They lost 2-3 at home to Neftchi Baku, fell 2-1 at Qabala, and were beaten 3-1 at Zira. The only bright spot was a 1-0 away win at Safa Baku, followed by a 0-0 draw at Araz Nakchivan. Defensive frailties have seen them concede eight goals in the last five games.

Head-to-Head Record

The last four meetings between Sabah Baku FC and FK MKT Araz Imisli show Sabah’s superiority with two wins, one draw, and only one loss. The most recent encounter on Mar 14, 2026, ended in a crushing 5-0 away win for Sabah Baku FC. Previously, they won 3-0 away in the league and drew 1-1 in the Cup. The sole Sabah Baku FC home fixture in this run saw FK MKT Araz Imisli win 1-0 back in August 2025, but that appears an outlier given recent form.

League Table Positions

Sabah Baku FC (listed as Sabah FA in the standings) sits top of the Premyer Liqa with 12 points from 4 matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding none. They are flawless at home with two wins from two, seven goals scored, and zero conceded. FK MKT Araz Imisli languishes in 9th place with 4 points from 5 games, having scored 5 and conceded 8. On the road, they have collected 4 points from 4 away matches, conceding five goals.

Win Probability: Sabah Baku FC or FK MKT Araz Imisli?

Sabah Baku FC has a 75% chance of winning, the draw is at 18%, and FK MKT Araz Imisli has a 7% chance. These probabilities are derived from the betting odds (home win as short as 1.12), Sabah’s perfect league start, their dominant 5-0 and 3-0 away victories in previous meetings, and FK MKT Araz Imisli’s poor run of just one win in five matches. Home advantage and the 12-point gap in the table further cement Sabah Baku FC as the overwhelming favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Sabah Baku FC as heavy favorites. Odds from multiple sources range from 1.12 to 1.18 for a home win. The draw is priced between 2.80 and 6.88, while an away win for FK MKT Araz Imisli is available from 5.35 all the way up to 19.00. Based on the stats, Sabah Baku FC is expected to win comfortably. The most likely correct score leans towards a home victory with a clean sheet, but goals can always change the dynamic.