FK Sumqayit - Shamakhi FK prediction 12 September 2026
FK Sumqayit
Shamakhi FK
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sabah FA | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18:1 | +17 | 20 |
| 2 |  Neftchi Baku | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22:9 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 |  Qarabag | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 |
| 4 |  Turan Tovuz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | +2 | 15 |
| 5 |  Zira | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 |  FK Kapaz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 |  ลamaxฤฑ FK | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 |  FK MKT Araz Imisli | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 9 | FK Sumqayit | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Qabala | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 7 |
| 11 |  Safa Baku | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5:17 | -12 | 3 |
| 12 |  Araz Nakchivan | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 2 |
FK Sumqayit vs Shamakhi FK Prediction (Sep 12)
The FK Sumqayit vs Shamakhi FK prediction for this Premyer Liqa match on Sep 12 at 15:45 points to a closely contested fixture. Based on the odds and recent form, Shamakhi FK enters as the slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while FK Sumqayit has a 30% chance and the draw sits at 28%.
Team Form
FK Sumqayit's recent form is poor, with four losses and one draw in their last five matches (L, L, D, L, L). In their most recent outing on Sep 06, they lost 2-1 away to Turan Tovuz. Shamakhi FK's form is mixed but better, recording one win, two draws, and two losses (W, D, D, L, L). They secured a 4-1 away victory against FK Kapaz on Sep 04.
Head-to-Head Record
In 43 previous meetings, Shamakhi FK holds a narrow edge with 17 wins to FK Sumqayit's 16, alongside 10 draws. The most recent encounter on Mar 13 saw Shamakhi FK win 1-0 away at FK Sumqayit. Over the last five matches, Shamakhi FK has won three, FK Sumqayit one, and one ended in a draw.
League Table Positions
FK Sumqayit sits at the bottom of the Premyer Liqa table in 12th place with 0 points from 3 matches (0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses), scoring 2 goals and conceding 6. Shamakhi FK is in 6th place with 5 points from 4 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss), scoring 5 and conceding 4. Notably, Shamakhi FK tops the away standings with 5 points from 4 away games.
Win Probability: FK Sumqayit or Shamakhi FK?
FK Sumqayit has a 30% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Shamakhi FK has a 42% chance. This calculation starts from the inverse of the most balanced bookmaker odds (2.70 home, 2.90 draw, 2.50 away), normalized to remove the margin. Adjustments were then made: Shamakhi FK's probability was increased due to their superior league position, strong away form, and recent head-to-head advantage. FK Sumqayit's poor form and last-place standing significantly reduce their chances.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer varying odds for this match. One bookmaker lists a home win at 2.62, a draw at 1.91, and an away win at 3.30. Another provides 2.55 for a home win, 1.95 for a draw, and 3.20 for an away win. A third set shows 2.70, 2.90, and 2.50 respectively. Based on the stats, Shamakhi FK is the more likely winner, but the match could be tight. A draw is a realistic outcome given the head-to-head history.
FK Sumqayit vs Shamakhi FK โ FAQ
- Who will win FK Sumqayit vs Shamakhi FK?
- Shamakhi FK is the more likely winner with a 42% probability. FK Sumqayit has a 30% chance, and the draw is at 28%. This is based on Shamakhi's better league position, away form, and recent head-to-head results.
- What is the win probability for Shamakhi FK?
- Shamakhi FK has a 42% chance of winning the match. This higher probability reflects their 6th place standing, top away record in the league, and three wins in the last five head-to-head meetings.
- When is the FK Sumqayit vs Shamakhi FK match?
- The match is on Sep 12 at 15:45. It is a Premyer Liqa fixture in Azerbaijan.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds vary by bookmaker. One offers 2.62 for a FK Sumqayit win, 1.91 for a draw, and 3.30 for a Shamakhi FK win. Another shows 2.55, 1.95, and 3.20, while a third lists 2.70, 2.90, and 2.50.