SC Paderborn 07 - Hamburger SV prediction 24 October 2026

Germany ยท BundesligaFinished
Match Info
CompetitionBundesliga ยท Germany
Start date
Kick-off
VenueHome Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
Capacity15,306
Surfacegrass
RefereeMartin Petersen
Recent Form
SC Paderborn 07
W
D
L
W
W
Hamburger SV
L
W
W
W
W
Recent matches ยท SC Paderborn 07
Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07
Hamburger SV
10
W
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07
22
D
Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07
VfB Stuttgart
02
L
Friendly Clubs
D.C. United
SC Paderborn 07
01
W
Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
31
W
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
SC Paderborn 07
30
L
Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07
SC Freiburg
01
L
Bundesliga
Mainz 05
SC Paderborn 07
00
D
DFB Pokal
Phonix Lubeck
SC Paderborn 07
24
W
Friendly Clubs
Werder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07
22
D
Friendly Clubs
VfL Osnabruck
SC Paderborn 07
02
W
Friendly Clubs
SC Paderborn 07
Fagiano Okayama
31
W
Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
11
D
Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
SC Paderborn 07
00
D
Bundesliga 2
SV Darmstadt 98
SC Paderborn 07
02
W
Recent matches ยท Hamburger SV
Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07
Hamburger SV
10
L
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
VfB Stuttgart
10
W
Bundesliga
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV
23
W
Friendly Clubs
Hamburger SV
Copenhagen
20
W
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
FC Koln
21
W
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
50
L
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Mainz 05
05
L
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV
20
L
DFB Pokal
SC Verl
Hamburger SV
03
W
Friendly Clubs
Toulouse
Hamburger SV
12
W
Friendly Clubs
Hamburger SV
LOSC Lille
22
D
Friendly Clubs
Hamburger SV
Everton
12
L
Friendly Clubs
Hamburger SV
Heidenheim
31
W
Friendly Clubs
Rapid Wien
Hamburger SV
32
L
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
11
D
Lineups
SC Paderborn 073-5-2
  • 17L. CurdaM
  • 25T. SchellerD
  • 21J. ter HorstD
  • 15N. NollG
  • 27S. TiggesF
  • 40G. Vidoviฤ‡M
  • 30S. MarinoF
  • 22M. HansenD
  • 28L. UlrichM
  • 5S. CastaรฑedaM
  • 23R. ObermairM
Substitutes
  • 9R. Philippe
  • 18M. Pieringer
  • 11S. Michel
  • 6T. Baack
  • 1M. Schubert
  • 20F. Gรถtze
  • 3Jonah Benedict Sticker
  • 2Ruben Mรผller
  • 38D. Zeitler
Hamburger SV3-5-2
  • 15Y. PoulsenF
  • 33S. BornauwD
  • 17W. OmariD
  • 1Daniel Heuer FernandesG
  • 3D. Mรธller WolfeM
  • 5M. AdelineM
  • 4B. NadirM
  • 13Z. El OuahdiM
  • 20Fรกbio VieiraF
  • 43S. NandjaD
  • 28M. MuheimM
Substitutes
  • 6A. Sambi Lokonga
  • 20A. Grรธnbรฆk
  • 12S. Tangvik
  • 22Kofi Jeremy Amoako
  • 19Otto Emerson Stange
  • 38Alexander Rรธssing-Lelesiit
  • 37L. Lemke
  • J. Bissi Mouelle
  • 9T. Moffi
Timeline
  • 13'EventFรกbio Vieira
  • 45'EventY. Poulsen
  • 45'EventG. Vidoviฤ‡
Head-to-Head ยท summary
5
SC Paderborn 07
1
Draws
7
Hamburger SV
Previous meetings
Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07
Hamburger SV
10
Bundesliga 2
SC Paderborn 07
Hamburger SV
20
Bundesliga 2
Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07
12
Bundesliga 2
Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07
22
Bundesliga 2
SC Paderborn 07
Hamburger SV
23
Bundesliga 2
Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07
12
Bundesliga 2
SC Paderborn 07
Hamburger SV
12
Bundesliga 2
Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07
31
Bundesliga 2
SC Paderborn 07
Hamburger SV
34
Bundesliga 2
SC Paderborn 07
Hamburger SV
41
DFB Pokal
SC Paderborn 07
Hamburger SV
02
Bundesliga 2
Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07
10
Bundesliga 2
Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07
10
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Bayern Munich752025:6+1917
2Borussia Dortmund752012:4+817
3SC Freiburg741216:9+713
4Bayer Leverkusen741216:12+413
5RB Leipzig740320:11+912
6Werder Bremen733115:14+112
7Mainz 05731316:13+310
8SV Elversberg731312:15-310
9Augsburg723217:13+49
10TSG 1899 Hoffenheim730414:1409
11Hamburger SV73046:16-109
12FC Koln72238:11-38
13SC Paderborn 0772236:9-38
14Eintracht Frankfurt722310:17-78
15VfB Stuttgart720510:13-36
16Schalke 0471334:7-36
17Union Berlin71336:18-126
18Borussia Monchengladbach710611:22-113
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV Prediction (Oct 24)

The SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV prediction for this Bundesliga fixture is a tough one to call, with the match scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 14:30 at the Home Deluxe Arena. Bookmakers have installed the home side as the marginal favorite, but the head-to-head record and current form suggest the visitors have a strong chance of taking all three points.

Team Form

SC Paderborn 07 have been inconsistent in their recent outings, with their last five competitive matches recording two wins, two losses, and one draw (D, L, W, W, L). Their most recent Bundesliga match was a 2-2 draw away to Werder Bremen on Oct 17. At home, they suffered a 0-2 loss to VfB Stuttgart on Oct 10, though they did secure an impressive 3-1 victory against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim on Sep 20.

Hamburger SV come into this match in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches (W, W, W, W, L). The only blemish was a heavy 5-0 defeat away to RB Leipzig on Sep 13. Since then, they have been on a roll, securing a 1-0 home win against VfB Stuttgart and an impressive 3-2 victory away to TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, both in the Bundesliga.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical record between these two sides leans clearly towards Hamburger SV. In their last 12 meetings, Hamburger SV have won 7 times, SC Paderborn 07 have won 4, and 1 match ended in a draw. The most recent encounter was on Mar 2, 2025, a Bundesliga 2 fixture where SC Paderborn 07 secured a 2-0 home victory. Prior to that, the fixture on Dec 9, 2023 saw Paderborn win 2-1 away in Hamburg. This recent two-match winning streak for Paderborn bucks the overall trend of Hamburg's dominance.

League Table Positions

In the overall Bundesliga standings, Hamburger SV sit 9th with 9 points from 6 matches, having won 3 and lost 3. SC Paderborn 07 are not listed in the top 12, indicating a lower league position. Hamburg's away form has yielded 3 points from 3 games (1 win, 2 losses), while Paderborn's home form is strong enough to be inside the top 8 with a 2-1-0 record from 3 home games, including 6 points won. This gives Paderborn a significant home advantage on paper.

Win Probability: SC Paderborn 07 or Hamburger SV?

Based on a comprehensive analysis of the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities: SC Paderborn 07 has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Hamburger SV has a 38% chance. The initial odds implied probabilities were adjusted to account for Hamburger's superior recent form and their historical dominance in this fixture, which counters Paderborn's home advantage. This match is a near coin-flip, with Hamburger SV slightly favored to edge it due to their momentum.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers' best odds for the match are as follows: a home win for SC Paderborn 07 is priced as high as 2.28, an away win for Hamburger SV is available at up to 3.25, and the draw is offered at a best price of 3.90. The odds imply that bookmakers see SC Paderborn 07 as the favorite, largely due to home advantage. However, our stats-based SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV prediction is that the momentum is with the visitors. Given their strong winning streak, Hamburger SV has a very good chance of coming away with a win in a high-scoring encounter.

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV โ€” FAQ

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?
This is a very evenly matched contest. Our analysis gives SC Paderborn 07 a 38% win probability, a 24% chance for the draw, and Hamburger SV a 38% chance, making the visitors the marginal favorites based on their strong current form.
What are the odds for Hamburger SV to win?
The best available odds for a Hamburger SV away victory are 3.25, implying they are the underdogs according to the bookmakers. A home win for SC Paderborn 07 is priced at 2.28, with the draw offered at odds of 3.90.
When is the SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV match?
The Bundesliga match between SC Paderborn 07 and Hamburger SV is scheduled for October 24, 2026, with a kick-off time of 14:30 local time. It will be played at the Home Deluxe Arena in Paderborn.
What is the head-to-head record between these teams?
In their last 12 meetings, Hamburger SV have the advantage with 7 wins. SC Paderborn 07 have won 4 times, with 1 match ending in a draw. Paderborn won their most recent clash 2-0 on March 2, 2025, in Bundesliga 2.
Who is the favorite to win, SC Paderborn 07 or Hamburger SV?
Bookmakers have made SC Paderborn 07 the favorite with the lowest odds for a home win. However, our win probability analysis, factoring in the team's superior recent form of four wins in five matches, gives Hamburger SV a slight edge to win the match.
SC Paderborn 07 โ€“ Hamburger SV ยท match page