| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | +19 | 17 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 17 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 12 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 10 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 9 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 3 |
The SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV prediction for this Bundesliga fixture is a tough one to call, with the match scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 14:30 at the Home Deluxe Arena. Bookmakers have installed the home side as the marginal favorite, but the head-to-head record and current form suggest the visitors have a strong chance of taking all three points.
SC Paderborn 07 have been inconsistent in their recent outings, with their last five competitive matches recording two wins, two losses, and one draw (D, L, W, W, L). Their most recent Bundesliga match was a 2-2 draw away to Werder Bremen on Oct 17. At home, they suffered a 0-2 loss to VfB Stuttgart on Oct 10, though they did secure an impressive 3-1 victory against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim on Sep 20.
Hamburger SV come into this match in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches (W, W, W, W, L). The only blemish was a heavy 5-0 defeat away to RB Leipzig on Sep 13. Since then, they have been on a roll, securing a 1-0 home win against VfB Stuttgart and an impressive 3-2 victory away to TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, both in the Bundesliga.
The historical record between these two sides leans clearly towards Hamburger SV. In their last 12 meetings, Hamburger SV have won 7 times, SC Paderborn 07 have won 4, and 1 match ended in a draw. The most recent encounter was on Mar 2, 2025, a Bundesliga 2 fixture where SC Paderborn 07 secured a 2-0 home victory. Prior to that, the fixture on Dec 9, 2023 saw Paderborn win 2-1 away in Hamburg. This recent two-match winning streak for Paderborn bucks the overall trend of Hamburg's dominance.
In the overall Bundesliga standings, Hamburger SV sit 9th with 9 points from 6 matches, having won 3 and lost 3. SC Paderborn 07 are not listed in the top 12, indicating a lower league position. Hamburg's away form has yielded 3 points from 3 games (1 win, 2 losses), while Paderborn's home form is strong enough to be inside the top 8 with a 2-1-0 record from 3 home games, including 6 points won. This gives Paderborn a significant home advantage on paper.
Based on a comprehensive analysis of the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities: SC Paderborn 07 has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Hamburger SV has a 38% chance. The initial odds implied probabilities were adjusted to account for Hamburger's superior recent form and their historical dominance in this fixture, which counters Paderborn's home advantage. This match is a near coin-flip, with Hamburger SV slightly favored to edge it due to their momentum.
The bookmakers' best odds for the match are as follows: a home win for SC Paderborn 07 is priced as high as 2.28, an away win for Hamburger SV is available at up to 3.25, and the draw is offered at a best price of 3.90. The odds imply that bookmakers see SC Paderborn 07 as the favorite, largely due to home advantage. However, our stats-based SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV prediction is that the momentum is with the visitors. Given their strong winning streak, Hamburger SV has a very good chance of coming away with a win in a high-scoring encounter.