Zangazur FC - Karvan prediction 29 October 2026

The Zangazur FC vs Karvan prediction for October 29, 2026, points toward a tight Cup clash where Karvan enters as the bookmakers' favorite. Based on the available data, Karvan holds a 48% win probability, while Zangazur FC sits at 28% with a 24% chance of a draw. The match kicks off at 10:00 UTC in the Azerbaijan Cup.

Team Form

Zangazur FC enters the contest on a perfect streak, having won both of their recent Cup matches. They secured a 1-0 home victory against Shirvan on October 12 and previously beat Difai Agsu 3-1 away on October 8.

Karvan shows mixed form across their last five matches with two wins, one draw, and two losses. Their most recent outing was a 3-1 defeat at MOIK Baku on October 22. Before that, they claimed a 2-1 home win over Ganjabasar FK on October 16 and drew 1-1 with Sabail FC on October 8. The longer sequence includes a strong 3-0 home victory against PFK Simurq Zaqatala on September 16 and a 2-0 loss at Sahdag on September 9.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no prior head-to-head record available between Zangazur FC and Karvan. With zero home wins, draws, or away wins recorded, this Cup tie marks the first meeting between the two sides.

League Table Positions

No league table data is available for this fixture since it is a Cup match. The teams compete in different divisions—Zangazur FC's recent matches are in the Cup, while Karvan's form comes from both the Cup and the 1 Division.

Win Probability: Zangazur FC or Karvan?

Zangazur FC has a 28% chance of winning, a draw stands at 24%, and Karvan leads with a 48% probability. The calculation starts from the inverse of the 1X2 odds (3.10, 3.75, 1.91), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. Karvan's favorite status is clear from the odds, but Zangazur FC's two-match winning run adds some upward pressure to their chances. The lack of head-to-head data and league context makes form the primary adjustment factor, slightly tightening the probabilities from the raw odds distribution.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds see Karvan as the favorite at 1.91, Zangazur FC at 3.10, and the draw priced at 3.75. Based on the stats, Karvan is the more likely winner, but Zangazur FC's perfect recent Cup record suggests they cannot be underestimated. A narrow Karvan victory or a tight draw appears the most probable scenario.