Madrid CFF Women - Deportivo Alaves Women prediction 26 September 2026

Our Madrid CFF Women vs Deportivo Alaves Women prediction for this Primera Division Women fixture on Sep 26 at 17:30 points to a home win. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Madrid CFF Women has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and Deportivo Alaves Women has a 25% chance. The match at Estadio Fernando Torres in Fuenlabrada sees the hosts as the clear favorite.

Team Form

Madrid CFF Women enter this match with strong recent results in the Primera Division Women. Their last five matches show three wins, one draw, and one loss (W, W, W, D, L). At home, they have been particularly impressive, winning their last two league games against Sevilla Women (1-0) and Granada CF Women (3-1). The only recent setback was a heavy 5-1 away defeat to Espanyol Women on Sep 19.

Deportivo Alaves Women have been inconsistent. Their last five results are two wins, one draw, and two losses (W, L, W, L, D). They suffered a heavy 6-0 home loss to Barcelona Women on Sep 18 but bounced back with a 1-0 home win against Granada CF Women. Away form is a concern, with a 1-0 loss at Atletico Madrid Women in their last road trip.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings between these sides, Madrid CFF Women have the upper hand with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. The most recent encounter was a 2-2 draw in a Friendly Clubs Women match on Aug 22, 2026. Before that, Madrid CFF Women dominated the Primera Division Women clashes, including a 5-1 home victory on Mar 4, 2023. Deportivo Alaves Women's sole win in this period came at home on Jan 12, 2022, with a 2-1 scoreline.

League Table Positions

Madrid CFF Women sit 3rd in the Primera Division Women table with 9 points from 4 matches (3 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 8 goals and conceded 7. Deportivo Alaves Women are 10th with 6 points (2 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses), scoring 3 and conceding 7. The home table highlights Madrid CFF Women's strength: they are 3rd with a perfect home record of 2 wins from 2, scoring 4 and conceding 1. Deportivo Alaves Women are 6th in the away table with 0 points from 1 away game, having lost 1-0 at Atletico Madrid Women.

Win Probability: Madrid CFF Women or Deportivo Alaves Women?

Madrid CFF Women has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and Deportivo Alaves Women has a 25% chance. These probabilities are calculated from the available form and stats, as no odds were provided in the data. The home side's strong league position, perfect home record, and dominant head-to-head history give them a significant edge. Deportivo Alaves Women's poor away form and heavy defeat to Barcelona Women lower their chances, though they are capable of an upset.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds were available for this match. Based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Madrid CFF Women as the favorite. Our Madrid CFF Women vs Deportivo Alaves Women prediction is a home win, with the most likely outcome being a victory for the side sitting 3rd in the table. The head-to-head record and home advantage strongly support this conclusion.