Borussia Monchengladbach - Mainz 05 prediction 19 September 2026
Borussia Monchengladbach
Mainz 05
VfB StuttgartBorussia MonchengladbachBorussia MonchengladbachTSG 1899 HoffenheimFC KolnBorussia MonchengladbachFC St. PauliBorussia MonchengladbachSportfreunde SiegenBorussia MonchengladbachBorussia MonchengladbachMainz 05SC FreiburgBorussia MonchengladbachBorussia MonchengladbachSV ElversbergRB LeipzigBorussia MonchengladbachTSV Schott MainzBorussia MonchengladbachBorussia MonchengladbachAston VillaSSVg VelbertBorussia MonchengladbachHansa RostockBorussia MonchengladbachRot-Weiss EssenBorussia MonchengladbachWuppertaler SVBorussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Werder BremenSchalke 04Mainz 05Mainz 05Bayer LeverkusenBorussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Mainz 05Eintracht FrankfurtHamburger SVMainz 05Mainz 05SC Paderborn 07VfB 1921 KrieschowMainz 05Mainz 05BournemouthMainz 05Paris FCMainz 05UdineseMainz 05Shabab Al Ahli DubaiMainz 05Holstein KielMainz 05KaiserslauternSpfr EisbachtalMainz 05Borussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Borussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Mainz 05Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Mainz 05Borussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Mainz 05Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Borussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Borussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Mainz 05Borussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Mainz 05Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Mainz 05Borussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Borussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Mainz 05Borussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Mainz 05Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia MonchengladbachMainz 05| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern Munich | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | +19 | 17 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 12 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 |  FC Koln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 3 |
Borussia Monchengladbach vs Mainz 05 Prediction (Sep 19)
Borussia Monchengladbach vs Mainz 05 prediction for the Bundesliga clash on Sep 19, 2026. Our analysis gives Mainz 05 a 40% win probability, the draw at 35%, and Borussia Monchengladbach just 25% โ making the away side the clear favorite at Borussia-Park.
Team Form
Borussia Monchengladbach have struggled mightily in the Bundesliga, losing their last three league matches: a 5-0 thrashing at SC Freiburg (Sep 12), a wild 3-4 home defeat to SV Elversberg (Sep 5), and a 0-3 loss at RB Leipzig (Aug 29). Their only victories came in the DFB Pokal (5-0 at TSV Schott Mainz) and a friendly (2-1 vs Aston Villa).
Mainz 05, on the other hand, are unbeaten in the Bundesliga after two games โ a 5-0 away demolition of Hamburger SV (Sep 6) and a goalless home draw with SC Paderborn 07 (Aug 29) โ before a 1-3 home loss to Eintracht Frankfurt. They also stomped VfB 1921 Krieschow 9-0 in the cup. Overall, Mainzโs form is far more consistent.
Head-to-Head Record
Historically, Borussia Monchengladbach lead the H2H with 10 wins to Mainz 05's 6, alongside 8 draws. The last five meetings, however, paint a tighter picture: a 1-1 draw (Apr 19, 2026), a 1-0 away win for Borussia (Dec 5, 2025), a 3-1 away win for Mainz (Mar 7, 2025), and two 1-1 draws. Mainz have lost just once in the last five encounters.
League Table Positions
As of the latest standings, Mainz 05 sit 5th in the Bundesliga with 4 points from 2 matches (1 win, 1 draw), having scored 5 goals and yet to concede. Their away record is perfect: one win from one trip. Borussia Monchengladbach are outside the top 12, with no points to show from their early season home and away matches. The table gap underscores their current crisis.
Win Probability: Borussia Monchengladbach or Mainz 05?
We calculated outcome probabilities based on odds, form, H2H, and table data. Bookmaker odds (home 2.88, draw 2.45, away 2.62) implied close to a three-way coin-toss, but after adjusting for Borussia's dreadful Bundesliga form and Mainz's strong away start, our model shifts the advantage to the visitors.
Mainz 05 has a 40% chance of winning, the draw sits at 35%, and Borussia Monchengladbach has a 25% chance. Mainzโs defensive solidity (0 goals conceded in away league play) and Borussiaโs leaky backline (8 goals conceded in two home games) tilt the probabilities decisively.
Borussia Monchengladbach vs Mainz 05 Prediction & Odds
Bookmakers see this as a tight affair: the best available odds at time of writing are around 2.88 for a home win, 2.45 for the draw, and 2.62 for an away win. Based on the stats, our Borussia Monchengladbach vs Mainz 05 prediction leans towards Mainz 05 to avoid defeat โ a draw no bet on the away side or a double chance (X2) offers value. A 1-2 or 1-1 scoreline appears likely given Mainzโs attacking output and Borussiaโs defensive frailty.
Borussia Monchengladbach vs Mainz 05 โ FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Monchengladbach vs Mainz 05?
- Mainz 05 are the most likely winner with a 40% chance, according to our prediction model. Borussia Monchengladbach have a 25% probability, while a draw is pegged at 35%. Mainzโs superior form and top-five league position give them the edge.
- What is the win probability for Mainz 05?
- Mainz 05 have a 40% win probability. This figure is based on their strong away record (5 goals scored, 0 conceded) and Borussia Monchengladbachโs three straight Bundesliga defeats.
- When is the Borussia Monchengladbach vs Mainz 05 match?
- The match kicks off on Sep 19, 2026 at 13:30 local time. It is a Bundesliga fixture held at Borussia-Park in Monchengladbach, Germany.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds for this match vary slightly between bookmakers, but a typical set is Borussia Monchengladbach 2.88, Draw 2.45, and Mainz 05 2.62. This indicates a very even contest in the betting market, though our analysis favors Mainz.