SV Elversberg - Mainz 05 prediction 30 October 2026
SV Elversberg
Mainz 05
RB LeipzigSV ElversbergSV ElversbergAugsburgUnion BerlinSV ElversbergSchalke 04SV ElversbergSV ElversbergBayern MunichBorussia MonchengladbachSV ElversbergSV ElversbergBayer LeverkusenMSV DuisburgSV ElversbergSV ElversbergLorientMallorcaSV ElversbergStrasbourgSV ElversbergNEC NijmegenSV ElversbergSV ElversbergViktoria KolnSV ElversbergThunSV ElversbergPreussen MunsterMainz 05Werder BremenSchalke 04Mainz 05Mainz 05Bayer LeverkusenBorussia MonchengladbachMainz 05Mainz 05Eintracht FrankfurtHamburger SVMainz 05Mainz 05SC Paderborn 07VfB 1921 KrieschowMainz 05Mainz 05BournemouthMainz 05Paris FCMainz 05UdineseMainz 05Shabab Al Ahli DubaiMainz 05Holstein KielMainz 05KaiserslauternSpfr EisbachtalMainz 05| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | 2.50 | 2.38 | |
| 3.20 | 2.42 | 2.35 | |
| 3.10 | 2.50 | 2.30 | |
| 3.10 | 2.50 | 2.25 | |
| 3.20 | 4.10 | 2.18 | |
| 2.80 | 2.50 | 1.95 |
- 42David Mokwaforward
- 20Felix Keidelmidfielder
- 17Frederik Schmahlmidfielder
- 21Lasse Gรผnthermidfielder
- 26Luca Sirchdefender
- 25Lukas Petkovmidfielder
- 19Lukas Pinckertdefender
- 8Lukasz Porebamidfielder
- 7Maurice Krattenmachermidfielder
- 31Maximilian Rohrdefender
- 20Nicolas Kristofgoalkeeper
- 6Amara Conde
- 39Cole Campbell
- 3Florian Le Joncour
- 40Francis Onyeka
- 2Nicholas Mickelson
- 9Noel Futkeu
- 15Raif Adam
- 28Tim Boss
- 1Alexander Schwolowgoalkeeper
- 19Anthony Cacidefender
- 21Danny da Costadefender
- 7Jae-Sung Leemidfielder
- 48Kacper Potulskidefender
- 6Kaishu Sanomidfielder
- 10Nadiem Amirimidfielder
- 9Phillip Tietzforward
- 16Phillipp Mwenedefender
- 23Sheraldo Beckerforward
- 5Stefan Poschdefender
- 17Benedict Hollerbach
- 5Eric Martel
- 3Fabio Gruber
- 15Lennard Maloney
- 40Maximilian Kinzig
- 8Paul Nebel
- 47Rael Nakuzola
- 11Ransford Kรถnigsdรถrffer
- 30Silvan Widmer
SV ElversbergMainz 05SV ElversbergMainz 05SV ElversbergMainz 05| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern Munich | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | +19 | 17 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 12 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 |  FC Koln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Monchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 3 |
SV Elversberg vs Mainz 05 Prediction (Oct 30)
The upcoming Bundesliga match between SV Elversberg and Mainz 05 kicks off on Oct 30 at 19:30. Looking for a SV Elversberg vs Mainz 05 prediction? Based on the stats, away side Mainz 05 enters the fixture as the favorite with a 42% win probability, while the draw is a strong possibility at 37%.
Team Form
SV Elversberg's recent form is inconsistent, having recorded results of L, W, L, D, L in their last five matches. At home, they are coming off a heavy 4-0 defeat against RB Leipzig on Oct 24, though they did manage to beat Augsburg 4-3 on Oct 17.
Mainz 05 also shows an alternating pattern with results of L, W, L, W, L in their last five games. Their away form has been a bright spot; they won 1-0 at Schalke 04 on Oct 17 and secured a 4-3 victory over Borussia Monchengladbach on Sep 19.
Head-to-Head Record
This will be the fourth competitive meeting between these two sides. In the head-to-head record, SV Elversberg is still looking for its first win: Mainz 05 has won once, and the other two encounters ended in draws. The most recent match, in the DFB Pokal on Aug 12, 2023, saw Mainz 05 secure a 1-0 away victory.
League Table Positions
The Bundesliga table highlights how tight this matchup is. Both teams have collected 10 points from 7 matches, leaving them tied on points. Mainz 05 sits just above SV Elversberg in 7th place due to a superior goal difference, having scored 16 and conceded 13, compared to Elversberg's 12 goals scored and 15 conceded.
The away standings reveal a stark contrast. Mainz 05 boasts a perfect away record with 3 wins from 3 matches, scoring 10 goals in the process, ranking them 1st in the league for away performance. In contrast, SV Elversberg has won only 1 of 4 away fixtures, but this match is at home, where they have won 2 of 3 games.
Win Probability: SV Elversberg or Mainz 05?
Using the available bookmaker odds as a base and adjusting for the data, we have calculated the outcome probabilities for this fixture. The calculation normalizes the best market odds (Home 3.25, Draw 2.42, Away 2.25) to remove the bookmaker margin and then adjusts for Mainz 05's perfect away record and dominant H2H performance.
- SV Elversberg win: 21%
- Draw: 37%
- Mainz 05 win: 42%
The conclusion is that Mainz 05 has the highest chance of winning the match, but a draw is statistically almost as likely. With a strong away percentage, Mainz 05 is more likely to secure the three points.
Odds & Match Prediction
The 1X2 betting odds see bookmakers pricing this as an open game. The best available odds for a home win are 3.25 for SV Elversberg. A draw is offered at 2.42, while an away win for Mainz 05 is priced around 2.25.
Based on the statistics, including Mainz 05's top-ranked away form and SV Elversberg's recent home defeat, the betting tips suggest value may lie with the away side or the draw. The head-to-head record also supports this, with Mainz 05 having won the only Bundesliga-era match between the two.
SV Elversberg vs Mainz 05 โ FAQ
- Who will win SV Elversberg vs Mainz 05?
- Mainz 05 is the favorite to win with a 42% probability. The draw is a close second at 37%, leaving SV Elversberg with a 21% chance of winning. This is based on Mainz 05's perfect away record and superior head-to-head history.
- What is the win probability for Mainz 05?
- Mainz 05 has a 42% chance of winning the match. This high probability is driven by their 100% away record this season (3 wins from 3) and the fact that SV Elversberg has never beaten them in a competitive fixture.
- When is the SV Elversberg vs Mainz 05 match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 30 at 19:30. It is a Bundesliga fixture and will be played at the Waldstadion an der Kaiserlinde in Spiesen-Elversberg, Germany.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available bookmaker odds are 3.25 for a SV Elversberg home win, 2.42 for the draw, and 2.25 for a Mainz 05 away win. These 1X2 odds indicate that the market views Mainz 05 as the favorite.