Mechelen - Sint Truidense prediction 11 October 2026
Mechelen
Sint TruidenseMechelen
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gent | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Club Brugge | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 22:6 | +16 | 24 |
| 3 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 27:6 | +21 | 23 |
| 4 |  RC Sporting Charleroi | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16:10 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 16 |
| 6 |  Genk | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 |  Westerlo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 24:21 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lommel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |  Standard Liege | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Zulte-Waregem | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Royal Antwerp FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:20 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 |  Sk Beveren | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Sint Truidense | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17:19 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  RAAL La Louviere | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Mechelen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
| 16 |  Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Kortrijk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2:18 | -16 | 3 |
| 18 |  Cercle Brugge | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 3 |
Mechelen vs Sint Truidense Prediction (Oct 11, 2026)
The Mechelen vs Sint Truidense prediction for this Jupiler Pro League match on Oct 11, 2026, at 18:15 points to an away win. Based on our analysis of recent form, head-to-head record, and available odds, Sint Truidense has a 50% chance of winning, while Mechelenโs probability is just 20% and a draw stands at 30%.
Team Form
Mechelen come into this fixture in very poor shape. Their last five results read L, D, L, L, D โ no win in that run. Most recently they lost a friendly 2-3 at home to Karpaty Lviv, and in the league they drew 0-0 at Lommel, lost0-1 at home to Anderlecht, and suffered a heavy0-4 home defeat against Westerlo.
Sint Truidense show mixed form with L, L, W, L, W. A4-1 away win at Royal Antwerp FC and a4-0 home thrashing of RAAL La Louviere were followed by back-to-back losses:2-0 at Sk Beveren and0-2 at home to Westerlo. Their league form is inconsistent but they have shown they can win away.
Head-to-Head Record
In the history of this fixture, Sint Truidense have a strong advantage. Overall, in26 meetings, Mechelen have won9 times, Sint Truidense15, with only2 draws. The last five matches underline this trend: Sint Truidense won three (3-0,1-0,3-1), Mechelen lost once as home (1-4), and there was one1-1 draw. The most recent clash on May24,2026, ended3-0 to Sint Truidense. Mechelen have not beaten Sint Truidense in their last four attempts.
League Table Positions
Sint Truidense currently sit12th in the Jupiler Pro League with8 points from7 matches (2 wins,2 draws,3 looses). Mechelenโs position is not displayed in the available standings data, which suggests they may be outside the top12. The gap in league standing further supports an away favorite.
Win Probability: Mechelen or Sint Truidense?
We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Mechelen win20%, draw30%, Sint Truidense win50%. This is derived from the odds (inverse of1X2, normalised to remove margin), then adjusted for Mechelenโs dreadful form (no win in5), Sint Truidenseโs better recent results, and a head-to-head that strongly favours the away side. Home advantage is heavily discounted due to Mechelenโs two heavy home defeats in their last two league outings.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakersโ odds for this match, taken from the odds market, show home win as high as3.05, draw around2.18, and away win around2.58. The betting market initially sees a draw as the most likely single outcome, but our deeper stats analysis flips that to an away win. Based on all available facts, Sint Truidense are the smarter pick to win this encounter.
Mechelen vs Sint Truidense โ FAQ
- Who will win Mechelen vs Sint Truidense?
- Sint Truidense are the most likely winners with a 50% probability, compared to Mechelen's 20% and a 30% chance of a draw. This is based on head-to-head dominance, recent form, and league position.
- What is the win probability for Sint Truidense?
- Sint Truidense have a 50% win probability. This high figure reflects their strong historical record (15 wins in 26 meetings), Mechelen's current poor form, and the fact that Sint Truidense have already won away at Royal Antwerp this season.
- When is the Mechelen vs Sint Truidense match?
- The match will be played on October 11, 2026, at 18:15 local time (GMT+1). It is a Jupiler Pro League fixture in Belgium.
- What are the odds for Mechelen vs Sint Truidense?
- One bookmaker offered odds of 3.05 for a Mechelen win, 2.18 for a draw, and 2.58 for a Sint Truidense win. Other bookmakers showed similar pricing, with the draw generally the shortest price.