Pafos FC - Riga FC prediction 22 October 2026
Pafos FC
Riga FCPafos FCRiga FCPafos FC
APOEL NicosiaAtalantaPafos FCAnorthosis FamagustaPafos FCPafos FCAEL LimassolAEK LarnacaPafos FCPafos FCOlympiakos NicosiaKarmiotissa PolemidionPafos FCPafos FCDinamo TiranaDinamo TiranaPafos FCSlovan BratislavaPafos FCPafos FCJagiellonia BialystokJablonecPafos FCCracovia KrakowPafos FCApollon LimassolPafos FCPafos FCRiga FCRiga FCFK Progress Super NovaRiga FCKairat AlmatyTukums 2000Riga FCJelgavaRiga FCFK Progress Super NovaRiga FCRiga FCAudaRiga FCBFC DaugavpilsLiepajas MetalurgsRiga FCRiga FCKI KlaksvikRigas Futbola SkolaRiga FCKI KlaksvikRiga FCGyori ETORiga FCRiga FCOgre UnitedRiga FCGyori ETOPafos FCRiga FCPafos FCRiga FCPafos FCRiga FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 6 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |  Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 |  Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |  Mjallby AIF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |  Sint Truidense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |  SC Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Hajduk Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Brann | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Gent | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |  Twente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 |  Midtjylland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |  Heart of Midlothian FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 |  Egnatia Rrogozhine | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |  CS Universitatea Craiova | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Riga FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 22 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 23 |  Jablonec | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |  Crvena Zvezda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Ajax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |  Borac Banja Luka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Lincoln Red Imps | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 |  Aarhus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 30 |  Thun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  KuPS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Pafos FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 34 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 35 |  Braga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 36 |  FK Kauno Zalgiris | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Pafos FC vs Riga FC Prediction (Oct 22)
The Pafos FC vs Riga FC prediction for this UEFA Conference League fixture on Oct 22 at 17:45 leans towards a home victory. Based on the odds and recent form, Pafos FC has a 52% chance of winning, with the draw at 28% and Riga FC at 20%. The match takes place at Stelios Kyriakides Stadium in Paphos.
Team Form
Pafos FC's recent form is inconsistent, recording D, L, W, L, W in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 0-0 draw at home against APOEL Nicosia in the 1st Division on Oct 19. Before that, they suffered a 3-1 away loss to Atalanta in the UEFA Conference League on Oct 15. However, they have shown they can win on the road, beating Anorthosis Famagusta 3-1 on Oct 11 and AEK Larnaca 1-0 on Sep 13. Home form is a concern, with a 2-0 loss to AEL Limassol on Sep 18 in their last home league game.
Riga FC comes into this match in strong form, with results of W, D, W, W, W. They beat FK Progress Super Nova 2-1 at home in the Virsliga on Oct 18. Their last European trip saw them draw 1-1 away at Kairat Almaty in this competition on Oct 15. They have been solid defensively on the road domestically, winning 2-0 at Tukums 2000 and 1-0 at Jelgava and FK Progress Super Nova.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these teams shows Pafos FC with the edge: 1 home win and 1 draw, with no wins for Riga FC. Both prior meetings were friendlies. The most recent, on Sep 24, 2022, ended 0-0. The only other clash saw Pafos FC win a thriller 5-4 on Mar 26, 2022, in a match that featured plenty of goals.
League Table Positions
In the UEFA Conference League standings, both teams are outside the top 12 after one matchday. Pafos FC sits below the leaders following a 3-1 defeat to Atalanta, who are 3rd on the home table with 3 points. Riga FC holds a spot in the away standings after drawing 1-1 with Kairat Almaty, who rank 6th with 1 point. Neither side has managed to put points on the board in the overall league table, making this a crucial match for both.
Win Probability: Pafos FC or Riga FC?
Based on an analysis of bookmaker odds, recent form, and home advantage, Pafos FC has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Riga FC has a 20% chance. The odds imply a clear favorite, with the average home win price around 1.87, which translates to a raw probability near 53% before normalizing. Riga FC's strong domestic away form and unbeaten run slightly tighten the probabilities, but they are yet to beat Pafos FC in head-to-heads. Pafos FC's inconsistent home results are a reason for caution, making the draw a significant possibility.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Pafos FC as the favorite, with the best home win odds at 2.05 and the lowest at 1.62. The draw is priced between 2.32 and 2.62, while an away win for Riga FC offers high odds from 4.50 to 6.00. Based on the stats, a home win is the most likely outcome, but given Pafos FC's shaky home form and Riga FC's resilience, a low-scoring match with a draw cannot be ruled out. Our prediction: Pafos FC to win, with a cautious eye on the under 2.5 goals market given the last H2H ended 0-0.
Pafos FC vs Riga FC โ FAQ
- Who will win Pafos FC vs Riga FC?
- Pafos FC has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Riga FC has a 20% chance. Home advantage and a superior head-to-head record favor Pafos FC, but Riga FC's strong form keeps the match competitive.
- What is the win probability for Pafos FC?
- Pafos FC has a 52% chance of winning the match. This percentage is based on bookmaker odds, which imply a strong favorite status, slightly adjusted for their inconsistent home form and Riga FC's recent results.
- When is the Pafos FC vs Riga FC match?
- The match is on Oct 22, 2026, at 17:45 local time. It is a UEFA Conference League fixture played at Stelios Kyriakides Stadium in Paphos.
- What are the odds for Pafos FC vs Riga FC?
- The match odds show a home win for Pafos FC priced between 1.62 and 2.05, the draw between 2.32 and 2.62, and an away win for Riga FC between 4.50 and 6.00.