Real Sociedad Women - Real Madrid Women prediction 26 September 2026

Our Real Sociedad Women vs Real Madrid Women prediction for this Primera Division Women fixture on Sep 26 at 11:00 is that Real Madrid Women are the clear favorites. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Real Madrid Women have a 65% chance of winning, the draw is at 22%, and Real Sociedad Women have a 13% chance.

Team Form

Real Sociedad Women are struggling for consistency. Their last five results read D, D, L, L, D. They were held to a 0-0 draw at Levante Las Planas Women and a 1-1 home draw against UDG Costa Adeje Tenerife Women. A 3-2 loss at Granada CF Women and a 0-2 home defeat to EDF Logrono Women highlight defensive issues.

Real Madrid Women are in much better shape. Their recent form is D, W, W, D, W. They drew 1-1 at home with Paris Saint Germain Women in the UEFA Champions League Women, beat Valencia Women 3-1, and won 2-0 at Deportivo La Coruna Women. With three wins in five, they carry strong momentum.

Head-to-Head Record

Real Madrid Women dominate this fixture. In 14 meetings, Real Sociedad Women have won 3, there have been 2 draws, and Real Madrid Women have won 9. The last five encounters underline this: Real Madrid Women won 3-0 in March 2026, 1-0 in December 2025, 3-0 in March 2025, and 4-1 in February 2025. A 1-1 draw in the Cup Women in February 2025 is the only recent blemish for Real Madrid Women.

League Table Positions

Real Madrid Women sit 2nd in the Primera Division Women with 10 points from 4 games (3 wins, 1 draw). They have scored 8 and conceded 3. Real Sociedad Women are not in the top 12 of the overall standings shown, indicating a slow start. The gap in quality and points is significant.

Win Probability: Real Sociedad Women or Real Madrid Women?

Real Madrid Women have a 65% chance of winning. The draw is at 22%, and Real Sociedad Women have a 13% chance. This calculation is based on the inverse of typical bookmaker odds, normalized, and heavily adjusted for Real Madrid Women's superior form, dominant head-to-head record (9 wins in 14), and 2nd place league position. Real Sociedad Women's winless run and poor defensive record make an away win the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the provided data. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Real Madrid Women as strong favorites. Our prediction is an away win for Real Madrid Women. The head-to-head record and current form point clearly to three points for the visitors.