MOIK Baku - Sahdag prediction 28 October 2026
MOIK Baku
SahdagMOIK Baku
KarvanBaku SportingMOIK BakuMOIK BakuEnergetik MingechevirKhankendiMOIK BakuMOIK BakuSimalMOIK BakuSahdagMOIK BakuDifai AgsuEnergetik MingechevirMOIK BakuSimalMOIK BakuMOIK BakuSahdagSafa BakuMOIK BakuMOIK BakuPFK Simurq ZaqatalaBaku SportingMOIK BakuMOIK BakuCabrayil FCSabail FCMOIK BakuSahdagSabail FCKhankendiSahdagSahdagPFK Simurq ZaqatalaSimalSahdagSahdagKarvanMOIK BakuSahdagSahdagBaku SportingSabail FCSahdagSahdagEnergetik MingechevirMOIK BakuSahdagPFK Simurq ZaqatalaSahdagSahdagCabrayil FCDifai AgsuSahdagSahdagSimalSafa BakuSahdag| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | 1.98 | 3.05 | |
| 2.75 | 3.22 | 2.69 | |
| 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.50 |
MOIK BakuSahdagMOIK BakuSahdagSahdagMOIK BakuMOIK BakuSahdagMOIK Baku vs Sahdag Prediction (Oct 28)
The MOIK Baku vs Sahdag prediction settles a Cup tie on Oct 28 at 10:00. Based on current odds, head-to-head record and team form, Sahdag goes into this away fixture as the likely winner with a 40% probability, while MOIK Baku gets a 30% chance and the draw sits at 30%.
Team Form
MOIK Baku enters the match in excellent shape. The Azeri side is undefeated in its last five outings in the 1 Division, winning four and drawing one. They beat Karvan 3-1 at home, defeated Baku Sporting 3-1 on the road, cruised past Energetik Mingechevir 3-0, won 2-0 at Khankendi, and played a 1-1 draw against Simal. The attack scored 12 goals across those five fixtures.
Sahdag also arrives with strong numbers. Their last five results show four wins and a single loss โ a 0-1 defeat away to Khankendi. The wins include a 1-0 home success over Sabail FC, a 6-0 thrashing of PFK Simurq Zaqatala, a 4-1 away victory at Simal and a 2-0 home win against Karvan. Sahdag netted 13 goals in that run, showing clinical finishing.
Head-to-Head Record
The H2H history heavily favours the away side. In their last four meetings, all in the 1 Division, Sahdag has three wins and one draw. MOIK Baku has never beaten Sahdag in that span. The most recent encounter, on Sep 3 2026, ended 1-0 to Sahdag at MOIK Baku's ground. Earlier in 2026, Sahdag also won 1-0 at MOIK Baku, and a 2-1 victory in September 2025. The only draw was a 1-1 result at Sahdag in March 2026.
Win Probability: MOIK Baku or Sahdag?
The win probability calculation gives MOIK Baku a 30% chance of victory, a draw 30%, and Sahdag a 40% probability. The numbers are based on the inverse of bookmaker odds, adjusted for the teamsโ recent form and the head-to-head record. Sahdag's three away wins in four H2H games and ongoing strong performances tip the balance, despite MOIK Bakuโs solid home form. Therefore, Sahdag is the more likely winner, but the match could be close.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers present two prominent lines. One bookmaker offers 2.80 for a home win, 2.80 for the draw, and 2.50 for an away win. Another line lists MOIK Baku at 2.75, the draw at 2.82, and Sahdag at 2.45. These consensus odds make Sahdag the clear favorite. Considering the stats, the final prediction is a likely Sahdag victory, though a low-scoring encounter or a draw cannot be ruled out given the balanced form.
MOIK Baku vs Sahdag โ FAQ
- Who will win MOIK Baku vs Sahdag?
- According to the probability model, Sahdag has a 40% chance of winning, MOIK Baku stands at 30%, and the draw is also 30%. This makes Sahdag the expected winner, fueled by a dominant head-to-head record and solid current form.
- What is the win probability for Sahdag?
- Sahdag carries a 40% probability to win the match. The figure stems from the bookmaker odds (around 2.50 for an away victory), Sahdag's three wins in the last four H2H meetings, and their strong recent results in the 1 Division.
- When is the MOIK Baku vs Sahdag match?
- The match kicks off on October 28, 2026, at 10:00 local time. It is an Azerbaijani Cup fixture between MOIK Baku and Sahdag.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Some bookmakers price a MOIK Baku win at 2.80, the draw at 2.80, and a Sahdag win at 2.50. Another set of odds shows 2.75 for the home side, 2.82 for the draw, and 2.45 for the away victory.