| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.40 | 2.50 | 2.30 | |
| 3.60 | 2.50 | 2.20 | |
| 3.80 | 2.45 | 2.15 | |
| 3.90 | 2.60 | 2.05 | |
| 4.00 | 2.45 | 2.05 | |
| 4.00 | 3.95 | 1.92 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | +19 | 17 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 17 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 12 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 10 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 9 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 3 |
The Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig prediction points to a clear away win on October 31, 2026, at 14:30. This Bundesliga clash at the Veltins-Arena in Gelsenkirchen sees RB Leipzig enter as the strong favorite. Based on the head-to-head record, recent form, and league table positions, RB Leipzig has a dominant 70% chance of winning, while Schalke 04 holds just a 15% probability, with a 15% chance of a draw.
Schalke 04's recent form is inconsistent. Their last five competitive results are D, L, L, W, W. Most recently, they drew 0-0 away to FC Koln on October 24 and lost 0-1 at home to Mainz 05 on October 17. The two wins came in friendly matches against lower-tier opposition, Austria Lustenau and Rot-Weiss Oberhausen. RB Leipzig's form is mixed against elite clubs but dominant otherwise. Their last five results are W, L, L, W, W. A 4-0 home demolition of SV Elversberg on October 24 was followed by a 1-4 loss at Real Madrid in the Champions League and a 1-6 defeat at Bayern Munich. However, they beat PSV Eindhoven 1-0 and crushed Eintracht Frankfurt 6-0.
The head-to-head record overwhelmingly favours RB Leipzig. In 15 previous meetings, Schalke 04 has won 3, there have been 3 draws, and RB Leipzig has won 9. The recent encounters have been particularly brutal for Schalke: a 2-4 loss in May 2023, a 1-6 home defeat in January 2023, a 0-3 loss in February 2021, and a 0-5 home thrashing in February 2020. The last time Schalke avoided defeat against Leipzig in this fixture was a draw, with Leipzig winning the last five head-to-head matches in all competitions by a combined score of 22-3.
RB Leipzig sits 5th in the Bundesliga table with 12 points from 7 matches (4 wins, 3 losses). They have scored 20 goals and conceded 11. Schalke 04 is currently outside the top 12 positions shown in the standings data, indicating a lower-table struggle. The standings highlight Leipzig's perfect home record (4 wins, 18 goals scored, 0 conceded), but this match is away. Schalke's home rank is not listed in the available home standings data, further suggesting they are in the bottom half of the table.
The calculated win probabilities are: RB Leipzig has a 70% chance of winning, the draw is at 15%, and Schalke 04 has a 15% chance. This is based on the inverse of the average bookmaker odds (normalized to remove the margin), which heavily favour an away victory, and then adjusted upwards for Leipzig due to their dominant head-to-head record, superior squad quality reflected in the table, and Schalke's poor form against top opposition. Schalke's home advantage at the Veltins-Arena is factored in, but it has not helped them in recent meetings with Leipzig. RB Leipzig is clearly the more likely winner.
Bookmaker odds for the 1X2 market show RB Leipzig as the strong favorite. The highest home win odds are 4.10, the lowest draw odds are 2.42, and the lowest away win odds are a short 2.05. The average odds across five bookmakers are roughly 3.83 for a Schalke win, 2.72 for a draw, and 2.14 for an RB Leipzig victory. Based on all stats, the Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig prediction is an away win. The gulf in class and history between these two sides is significant, making a Leipzig victory the most probable match outcome.