SC Freiburg - Schalke 04 prediction 11 October 2026
SC Freiburg
Schalke 04SC Freiburg
Bayern MunichMonacoSC FreiburgBayer LeverkusenSC FreiburgSC FreiburgJablonecSC FreiburgSchalke 04Eintracht FrankfurtSC FreiburgSC FreiburgBorussia MonchengladbachSC Paderborn 07SC FreiburgSC FreiburgWerder BremenSC FreiburgMotherwellFortuna DusseldorfSC FreiburgMotherwellSC FreiburgSC FreiburgCrystal PalaceSC FreiburgStrasbourgDerby CountySC FreiburgFC KolnSchalke 04Schalke 04Mainz 05SC FreiburgSchalke 04Austria LustenauSchalke 04Rot-Weiss OberhausenSchalke 04Schalke 04SV ElversbergUnion BerlinSchalke 04Schalke 04Bayern MunichAugsburgSchalke 04Hallescher FCSchalke 04Schalke 04Real MadridSchalke 04AtalantaHessen KasselSchalke 04Schalke 04Fagiano OkayamaFC KharkivSchalke 04SC FreiburgSchalke 04SC FreiburgSchalke 04Schalke 04SC Freiburg| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern Munich | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | +19 | 17 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 12 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 |  FC Koln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Monchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 3 |
SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 Prediction (Oct 11)
Our SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 prediction for the Bundesliga clash on October 11, 2026, points to a home win at the Europa-Park Stadion. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, SC Freiburg have a 55% chance of winning, the draw sits at 25%, and Schalke 04 have a 20% chance.
Team Form
SC Freiburg come into this match in outstanding shape. Their last five results show a draw away to Eintracht Frankfurt (2-2), followed by four consecutive wins: 5-0 at home to Borussia Mรถnchengladbach, 1-0 away to SC Paderborn 07, 4-1 at home to Werder Bremen, and 4-1 at home to Motherwell in UEFA Conference League qualifying. They have scored 16 goals in those five games and conceded just three.
Schalke 04โs recent form is harder to read, mixing friendlies with league matches. They won back-to-back friendlies 1-0 at Austria Lustenau and 5-2 at Rot-Weiss Oberhausen, then recorded league results of a 0-0 home draw with SV Elversberg, a 3-1 away win at Union Berlin, and a 0-0 home draw with Bayern Munich. In the Bundesliga, Schalke have kept two clean sheets but have also failed to score in both of those 0-0 draws.
Head-to-Head Record
The last two head-to-head meetings, both in the Bundesliga, were won by SC Freiburg without conceding a goal. On 30 October 2022, Freiburg won 2-0 at Schalke, and on 23 April 2023, they thrashed Schalke 4-0 at home. Those results underline Freiburgโs dominance in recent head-to-head contests.
League Table Positions
SC Freiburg are 3rd in the Bundesliga table with 10 points from 4 matches (3 wins, 1 draw) and a goal difference of +9. At home they have a perfect record: 2 wins from 2 games, scoring 9 and conceding 1. Schalke 04 sit 11th with 5 points from 4 games (1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss) and a goal difference of -1. Their away record is 1 win and 1 loss, with 3 goals scored and 4 conceded.
Win Probability: SC Freiburg or Schalke 04?
We calculated the probabilities by first taking the implied odds from the average pre-match bookmaker lines (home 1.81, draw 2.72, away 4.81) and removing the margin, giving a raw baseline. We then adjusted for SC Freiburgโs stronger form, perfect home record, higher league position, and their 2-0 head-to-head advantage. The final outcome probabilities are: SC Freiburg win 55%, draw 25%, Schalke 04 win 20%. All signs point to the home side being the most likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
The average 1X2 odds across the six pre-match books are 1.81 for a SC Freiburg win, 2.72 for a draw, and 4.81 for a Schalke 04 win. Bookmakers clearly see SC Freiburg as the favourite. Our SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 prediction is a home victory based on the overwhelming statistical evidence, the strong home form, and the historical record between these teams.
SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 โ FAQ
- Who will win SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04?
- SC Freiburg are the most likely winners with a 55% probability. The draw carries a 25% chance, while Schalke 04 have a 20% chance. Freiburgโs near-perfect home form and head-to-head record make them the clear favourites.
- What is the win probability for SC Freiburg?
- SC Freiburg have a 55% chance of winning this match. This figure combines the bookmaker odds with their strong home record this season (2 wins, 9 goals scored, 1 conceded) and a 2-0 headโtoโhead advantage in the last two meetings.
- When is the SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 match?
- The match takes place on October 11, 2026, kicking off at 16:30 local time (UK time +1). It will be played at the Europa-Park Stadion in Freiburg im Breisgau, as part of the German Bundesliga.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The average pre-match odds are 1.81 for a SC Freiburg win, 2.72 for a draw, and 4.81 for a Schalke 04 win. These figures come from six different bookmakers and show Freiburg as the clear betting favourite.
- What is the head-to-head record between SC Freiburg and Schalke 04?
- In the last two Bundesliga meetings, SC Freiburg have won both: 2-0 away on 30 October 2022 and 4-0 at home on 23 April 2023. Freiburg are yet to concede a goal against Schalke in those recent encounters.