RB Leipzig - SV Elversberg prediction 24 October 2026

Our RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg prediction for this Bundesliga match on Oct 24, 2026, at 14:30 points to a home win. Based on the available stats and odds, RB Leipzig enters as the clear favorite with a 67% chance of winning, while SV Elversberg has a 15% chance. The Red Bull Arena in Leipzig will host this fixture.

Team Form

RB Leipzig's recent form shows a slight edge despite a heavy defeat last time out. In their last five matches, they have recorded three wins and two losses (W-W-W-L-L). They suffered a 6-1 away loss to Bayern Munich on Oct 17, but previously secured a 1-0 home win against PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League and demolished Eintracht Frankfurt 6-0 at home in the Bundesliga. At the Red Bull Arena, Leipzig have been flawless in the league with three wins from three, scoring 14 goals and conceding none.

SV Elversberg's last five form is slightly less consistent, with two wins, one draw, and two losses (W-L-D-L-W). They are coming off a thrilling 4-3 home win over Augsburg on Oct 17. Before that, they lost 1-0 away to Union Berlin and played a 0-0 draw at Schalke 04. Their away form in the Bundesliga has been decent, with one win, one draw, and one loss, scoring 4 and conceding 4.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between these two sides. The data shows zero wins for RB Leipzig, zero draws, and zero wins for SV Elversberg in past meetings, indicating this will be their first competitive clash based on the available records.

League Table Positions

SV Elversberg sit 6th in the Bundesliga table with 10 points from 6 matches, having scored 12 goals and conceded 11. RB Leipzig are just behind in 7th place with 9 points from 6 games, but they have a superior goal difference, scoring 16 and conceding 11. The home and away splits highlight Leipzig's strength at the Red Bull Arena, where they are 3rd in the home standings with a perfect 9 points. Elversberg are 8th in the away table with 4 points from 3 games.

Win Probability: RB Leipzig or SV Elversberg?

Based on the odds, team form, home advantage, and league positions, we calculate the win probability as follows: RB Leipzig win – 67%, Draw – 18%, SV Elversberg win – 15%. The bookmakers' odds heavily lean towards Leipzig, with the best home odds around 1.35–1.65 implying a 60–74% chance. We adjusted this upwards slightly after factoring in Leipzig's perfect home record (3 wins, 14 goals scored, 0 conceded) and Elversberg's mixed away form. The conclusion is that RB Leipzig are far more likely to win this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced RB Leipzig as the strong favorite for this Bundesliga clash. The available 1X2 odds show the home win priced as low as 1.35 up to 1.65. The draw can be backed between 2.88 and 5.90, while an away win for SV Elversberg is a long shot with odds ranging from 5.00 to 7.00. Our betting tip? Based on the stats, a home win for RB Leipzig is the expected outcome. Leipzig's attacking power at home, combined with Elversberg's defensive vulnerabilities on the road, points to a comfortable victory for the hosts.