| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33:18 | +15 | 27 | |
| 2 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32:23 | +9 | 26 | |
| 3 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:12 | +9 | 26 | |
| 4 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:26 | -1 | 24 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29:19 | +10 | 23 | |
| 6 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:18 | +3 | 22 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:18 | +5 | 20 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:17 | +4 | 20 | |
| 9 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 20 | |
| 10 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 | |
| 11 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 19 | |
| 12 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 | |
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | +3 | 16 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 16 | |
| 15 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 | |
| 16 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | |
| 17 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:27 | -11 | 10 | |
| 18 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9:33 | -24 | 5 |
The Tijuana vs Atlas Guadalajara prediction points to a home advantage for Tijuana in this Liga MX clash at Estadio Caliente on Sep 26 at 04:00. Based on the stats, Tijuana has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Atlas Guadalajara has a 24% chance.
Tijuana's last five matches show a mixed run: D, L, D, W, L. They drew 2-2 away at Pachuca on Sep 21, lost 0-1 at home to Queretaro on Sep 12, drew 0-0 away at Club America on Sep 6, beat Pumas UNAM 2-0 at home on Aug 29, and lost 2-5 away at Chivas Guadalajara on Aug 23.
Atlas Guadalajara's recent form reads D, L, D, L, W. They drew 1-1 at home with Pumas UNAM on Sep 20, lost 2-5 away at Toluca on Sep 13, drew 1-1 at home with Atlante on Sep 6, lost 1-3 at home to Queretaro on Aug 30, and won 2-0 away at Cruz Azul on Aug 23.
In the last five meetings, Tijuana has won 2, Atlas Guadalajara has won 1, and there have been 2 draws. The overall H2H record across all matches is 11 wins for Tijuana, 9 draws, and 8 wins for Atlas Guadalajara. The most recent encounter on Mar 5, 2026, saw Atlas Guadalajara win 2-1 at home. Before that, Tijuana won 2-0 at home on Nov 8, 2025.
Tijuana sits 6th in the overall Liga MX table with 14 points from 8 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, 12 goals scored, 10 conceded). Atlas Guadalajara is 9th with 14 points from 9 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, 13 goals scored, 15 conceded). At home, Tijuana is ranked 1st with 12 points from 5 games (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). Atlas Guadalajara's away form is strong: they are 6th in the away table with 9 points from 4 games (3 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss).
Based on the odds, form, H2H, and home advantage, the calculated win probabilities are: Tijuana 48%, draw 28%, Atlas Guadalajara 24%. The bookmakers' average implied probabilities (after removing the margin) give Tijuana around 47%, the draw 26%, and Atlas Guadalajara 27%. Tijuana's excellent home record (4 wins in 5) and higher H2H win count tilt the balance in their favor, but Atlas Guadalajara's solid away form (3 wins in 4) keeps the match competitive.
The available 1X2 odds show Tijuana as the favorite. The best home win odds are 2.06, with other bookmakers offering 1.95, 1.92, and 1.91. The draw is priced around 3.70, and an Atlas Guadalajara away win is as high as 4.00. Based on the stats, Tijuana is more likely to win, but the value may lie in the draw given both teams' recent inconsistency. Our Tijuana vs Atlas Guadalajara prediction is a home win, but with caution.