Tijuana - Atlas Guadalajara prediction 26 September 2026

Mexico ยท Liga MXFinished
Tijuana
2:3
FT
Atlas Guadalajara
Match Info
CompetitionLiga MX ยท Mexico
Start date
Kick-off
RefereeLuis Enrique Santander Aguirre
Recent Form
Tijuana
W
D
D
D
L
Atlas Guadalajara
W
L
W
D
W
Recent matches ยท Tijuana
Liga MX
Tijuana
Santos Laguna
41
W
Liga MX
Toluca
Tijuana
22
D
Liga MX
Tijuana
Puebla
00
D
Liga MX
FC Juarez
Tijuana
11
D
Liga MX
Tijuana
Atlas Guadalajara
23
L
Liga MX
Pachuca
Tijuana
22
D
Liga MX
Tijuana
Queretaro
01
L
Liga MX
Club America
Tijuana
00
D
Liga MX
Tijuana
Pumas UNAM
20
W
Liga MX
Chivas Guadalajara
Tijuana
52
L
Liga MX
Tijuana
Cruz Azul
21
W
Liga MX
Atletico San Luis
Tijuana
00
D
Liga MX
Tijuana
Club Leon
10
W
Liga MX
Tijuana
Tigres UANL
31
W
Liga MX
Chivas Guadalajara
Tijuana
00
D
Recent matches ยท Atlas Guadalajara
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Puebla
43
W
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Club America
25
L
Liga MX
Necaxa
Atlas Guadalajara
02
W
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Chivas Guadalajara
11
D
Liga MX
Tijuana
Atlas Guadalajara
23
W
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Pumas UNAM
11
D
Liga MX
Toluca
Atlas Guadalajara
52
L
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Atlante
11
D
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Queretaro
13
L
Liga MX
Cruz Azul
Atlas Guadalajara
02
W
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Tigres UANL
21
W
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
CF Monterrey Rayados
02
L
Liga MX
Santos Laguna
Atlas Guadalajara
01
W
Liga MX
Club Leon
Atlas Guadalajara
23
W
Liga MX
Cruz Azul
Atlas Guadalajara
10
L
Lineups
Tijuana4-1-4-1
  • 9MouradF
  • 7Adonis PreciadoM
  • 16J. VegaD
  • 15I. RiveroM
  • 8I. TonaM
  • 2A. RodrรญguezG
  • 6A. GรณmezD
  • 4Unai BilbaoD
  • 17R. รrcigaD
  • 26A. PerezM
  • 11F. GonzรกlezM
Substitutes
  • 20ร. Zapata
  • 13Elias Manoel
  • 19D. Abreu
  • 3S. Hernรกndez
  • 31Y. Padilla
  • 33P. Ortรญz
  • 202J. Gonzรกlez
  • 188A. Magallon
  • 197J. Orduno
  • 34F. Boya
Atlas Guadalajara3-4-2-1
  • 8R. MmaeeM
  • 10Luรญs EstevesM
  • 9F. MonzรณnF
  • 12C. VargasG
  • 20K. ZenรณnM
  • 44J. PurataD
  • 6ร‰. ZaldรญvarD
  • 13G. AguirreD
  • 18E. MontielM
  • 15Paulo RamรญrezM
  • 16M. ValenzuelaM
Substitutes
  • 22A. Sรกnchez
  • 5J. Rodrรญguez
  • 58A. Gonzรกlez
  • 4A. Mora
  • 26A. Rocha
  • 27V. Rรƒยญos
  • 23S. Hernรกndez
  • 203J. Martรญn
Head-to-Head ยท summary
11
Tijuana
9
Draws
9
Atlas Guadalajara
Previous meetings
Liga MX
Tijuana
Atlas Guadalajara
23
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Tijuana
21
Liga MX
Tijuana
Atlas Guadalajara
20
Liga MX
Tijuana
Atlas Guadalajara
34
Liga MX
Tijuana
Atlas Guadalajara
30
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Tijuana
00
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Tijuana
00
Liga MX
Tijuana
Atlas Guadalajara
20
Liga MX
Tijuana
Atlas Guadalajara
11
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Tijuana
12
Liga MX
Tijuana
Atlas Guadalajara
20
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Tijuana
02
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Tijuana
10
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Tijuana
10
Liga MX
Tijuana
Atlas Guadalajara
31
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Tijuana
21
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Tijuana
21
Liga MX
Tijuana
Atlas Guadalajara
31
Liga MX
Tijuana
Atlas Guadalajara
31
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Tijuana
01
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Tijuana
01
Liga MX
Tijuana
Atlas Guadalajara
22
Liga MX
Tijuana
Atlas Guadalajara
22
Liga MX
Tijuana
Atlas Guadalajara
22
Liga MX
Tijuana
Atlas Guadalajara
22
Liga MX
Tijuana
Atlas Guadalajara
22
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Tijuana
10
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Tijuana
10
Liga MX
Atlas Guadalajara
Tijuana
33
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Club America1383233:18+1527
2Cruz Azul1482432:23+926
3Chivas Guadalajara1475221:12+926
4Atlas Guadalajara1473425:26-124
5Toluca1465329:19+1023
6Club Leon1464421:18+322
7CF Monterrey Rayados1362523:18+520
8Tijuana1355321:17+420
9Queretaro1362517:18-120
10Santos Laguna1461720:20019
11Atletico San Luis1454519:22-319
12Pumas UNAM1445520:23-317
13Pachuca1444622:19+316
14Puebla1444616:21-516
15Tigres UANL1436515:19-415
16Atlante1435614:20-614
17Necaxa1424816:27-1110
18FC Juarez1412119:33-245
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Tijuana vs Atlas Guadalajara Prediction (Sep 26)

The Tijuana vs Atlas Guadalajara prediction points to a home advantage for Tijuana in this Liga MX clash at Estadio Caliente on Sep 26 at 04:00. Based on the stats, Tijuana has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Atlas Guadalajara has a 24% chance.

Team Form

Tijuana's last five matches show a mixed run: D, L, D, W, L. They drew 2-2 away at Pachuca on Sep 21, lost 0-1 at home to Queretaro on Sep 12, drew 0-0 away at Club America on Sep 6, beat Pumas UNAM 2-0 at home on Aug 29, and lost 2-5 away at Chivas Guadalajara on Aug 23.

Atlas Guadalajara's recent form reads D, L, D, L, W. They drew 1-1 at home with Pumas UNAM on Sep 20, lost 2-5 away at Toluca on Sep 13, drew 1-1 at home with Atlante on Sep 6, lost 1-3 at home to Queretaro on Aug 30, and won 2-0 away at Cruz Azul on Aug 23.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings, Tijuana has won 2, Atlas Guadalajara has won 1, and there have been 2 draws. The overall H2H record across all matches is 11 wins for Tijuana, 9 draws, and 8 wins for Atlas Guadalajara. The most recent encounter on Mar 5, 2026, saw Atlas Guadalajara win 2-1 at home. Before that, Tijuana won 2-0 at home on Nov 8, 2025.

League Table Positions

Tijuana sits 6th in the overall Liga MX table with 14 points from 8 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, 12 goals scored, 10 conceded). Atlas Guadalajara is 9th with 14 points from 9 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, 13 goals scored, 15 conceded). At home, Tijuana is ranked 1st with 12 points from 5 games (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). Atlas Guadalajara's away form is strong: they are 6th in the away table with 9 points from 4 games (3 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss).

Win Probability: Tijuana or Atlas Guadalajara?

Based on the odds, form, H2H, and home advantage, the calculated win probabilities are: Tijuana 48%, draw 28%, Atlas Guadalajara 24%. The bookmakers' average implied probabilities (after removing the margin) give Tijuana around 47%, the draw 26%, and Atlas Guadalajara 27%. Tijuana's excellent home record (4 wins in 5) and higher H2H win count tilt the balance in their favor, but Atlas Guadalajara's solid away form (3 wins in 4) keeps the match competitive.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds show Tijuana as the favorite. The best home win odds are 2.06, with other bookmakers offering 1.95, 1.92, and 1.91. The draw is priced around 3.70, and an Atlas Guadalajara away win is as high as 4.00. Based on the stats, Tijuana is more likely to win, but the value may lie in the draw given both teams' recent inconsistency. Our Tijuana vs Atlas Guadalajara prediction is a home win, but with caution.

Tijuana vs Atlas Guadalajara โ€” FAQ

Who will win Tijuana vs Atlas Guadalajara?
Tijuana is the favorite to win with a 48% probability. The draw has a 28% chance, and Atlas Guadalajara has a 24% chance. Tijuana's strong home record (4 wins in 5) gives them the edge.
What is the win probability for Tijuana?
Tijuana has a 48% chance of winning this match. This is based on their 1st-place home ranking, overall H2H advantage (11 wins to 8), and bookmaker odds that imply around 47% home win probability.
When is the Tijuana vs Atlas Guadalajara match?
The match is on Sep 26 at 04:00 local time. It is a Liga MX fixture in Mexico, played at Estadio Caliente in Tijuana.
What are the odds for the match?
The best odds available are 2.06 for a Tijuana win, 3.70 for a draw, and 4.00 for an Atlas Guadalajara win. These odds reflect Tijuana as the clear favorite.
Tijuana โ€“ Atlas Guadalajara ยท match page