Toluca Live Score

Toluca's stats and match predictions are essential for fans and bettors following this historic Mexican club during the 2026 season. Founded in 1917 and playing at Estadio Nemesio Díez in Toluca de Lerdo, the team has experienced mixed results across Liga MX, Campeones Cup, and friendly matches. The last five matches brought only one victory, highlighting the need for a detailed look at Toluca form, upcoming fixtures, and win probability analysis. This page compiles the latest data to provide accurate Toluca predictions.

Toluca Current Form

The current form of Toluca shows a run of inconsistent performances. The most recent results (starting with the newest) are:

• Jul 4, 2026 – Cancun FC 1-0 Toluca (Friendly Clubs) – Loss
• May 31, 2026 – Toluca 0-0 Tigres UANL (Campeones Cup) – Draw
• May 10, 2026 – Pachuca 2-0 Toluca (Liga MX) – Loss
• May 7, 2026 – Toluca 4-0 Los Angeles FC (Campeones Cup) – Win
• May 4, 2026 – Toluca 0-1 Pachuca (Liga MX) – Loss

With a record of L-D-L-W-L, Toluca has struggled for consistency, especially in Liga MX where they suffered back-to-back defeats against Pachuca. The only bright spot was the dominant 4-0 home victory over Los Angeles FC in the Campeones Cup. The goal drought in three of these five outings underscores the offensive challenges that will need to be addressed ahead of upcoming games.

Toluca Recent Match Statistics

While a full season breakdown is beyond the scope of the available data, the last five fixtures offer a meaningful snapshot of Toluca stats:

• Total goals scored: 4
• Total goals conceded: 4
• Home matches (3): 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss – 4 goals for, 1 against
• Away matches (2): 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses – 0 goals for, 3 against
• Overall form: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses

These Toluca stats reveal a side that is far more comfortable at home, where all their goals and the single victory came. The away form, with no goals scored and three conceded, is a clear area for improvement as the team prepares for its next Liga MX fixture.

Toluca Upcoming Matches

Looking ahead, Toluca has two confirmed fixtures. The next match is an away Liga MX clash against Chivas Guadalajara on July 19, 2026, kicking off at 01:07 UTC. Immediately after, Toluca returns home to face Pumas UNAM on July 22, 2026, at 03:00 UTC.

Betting odds are already available for the Chivas Guadalajara encounter: home win at 2.46, draw at 2.54, and an away win for Toluca at 3.06. These odds form the basis for our Toluca predictions and win probability calculation.

Toluca Match Predictions: Win Probability

The mandatory win probability assessment for Toluca's next match uses decimal odds to derive the implied chances. Converting the odds yields the following outcome probabilities:

• Chivas Guadalajara win: 1 / 2.46 = 40.7%
• Draw: 1 / 2.54 = 39.4%
• Toluca win: 1 / 3.06 = 32.7%

Toluca enters this away match as the underdog with approximately a 32.7% win probability. This assessment reflects both the betting market's view and the team's recent form of one win, one draw, and three losses, as well as the clear home/away disparity noted in recent stats. While an upset is possible, the data suggests a draw or a narrow home victory are the more likely scenarios. For those making Toluca predictions, this probability framework provides a rational starting point for evaluating upcoming games. Overall, in its current form, Toluca wins roughly 20% of its recent matches, a trend that will need to be improved to gain momentum in Liga MX.