FC Juarez - Tijuana prediction 11 October 2026
FC Juarez
Tijuana
NecaxaFC JuarezFC JuarezAtlanteCruz AzulFC JuarezFC JuarezTijuanaClub LeonFC JuarezFC JuarezTigres UANLSantos LagunaFC JuarezFC JuarezPachucaTolucaFC JuarezFC JuarezClub AmericaCF Monterrey RayadosFC JuarezFC JuarezPumas UNAMChivas GuadalajaraFC JuarezFC JuarezPueblaColorado RapidsFC JuarezTijuanaSantos LagunaTolucaTijuanaTijuanaPueblaFC JuarezTijuanaTijuanaAtlas GuadalajaraPachucaTijuanaTijuanaQueretaroClub AmericaTijuanaTijuanaPumas UNAMChivas GuadalajaraTijuanaTijuanaCruz AzulAtletico San LuisTijuanaTijuanaClub LeonTijuanaTigres UANLChivas GuadalajaraTijuanaFC JuarezTijuanaFC JuarezTijuanaTijuanaFC JuarezTijuanaFC JuarezTijuanaFC JuarezFC JuarezTijuanaTijuanaFC JuarezFC JuarezTijuanaTijuanaFC JuarezTijuanaFC JuarezFC JuarezTijuanaFC JuarezTijuanaTijuanaFC JuarezFC JuarezTijuanaFC JuarezTijuanaFC JuarezTijuanaFC JuarezTijuana| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33:18 | +15 | 27 |
| 2 |  Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32:23 | +9 | 26 |
| 3 |  Chivas Guadalajara | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:12 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:26 | -1 | 24 |
| 5 |  Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29:19 | +10 | 23 |
| 6 |  Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:18 | +3 | 22 |
| 7 |  CF Monterrey Rayados | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:18 | +5 | 20 |
| 8 | Tijuana | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:17 | +4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Queretaro | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 |  Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 |  Atletico San Luis | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 |  Pumas UNAM | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Pachuca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | +3 | 16 |
| 14 |  Puebla | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 16 |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 |  Atlante | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:27 | -11 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9:33 | -24 | 5 |
FC Juarez vs Tijuana Prediction (Oct 11)
FC Juarez vs Tijuana prediction for the Liga MX match on October 11, 2026 at Estadio Olรญmpico Benito Juรกrez. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and odds, Tijuana has a 41% chance of winning, with a draw at 31% and FC Juarez at 28%.
Team Form
FC Juarez come into this match in poor form, having lost four of their last five league outings. They suffered defeats against Club Leon (2-1), Santos Laguna (2-1), Pachuca (2-0 at home), and a heavy 4-0 loss at Toluca. Their only positive result was a 2-0 home win over Tigres UANL.
Tijuana's recent form has been slightly steadier, with one win, two draws, and two losses across their last five matches. They beat Pumas UNAM 2-0 at home, drew 2-2 at Pachuca and 0-0 at Club America, and lost 3-2 at home to Atlas Guadalajara and 1-0 at home to Queretaro. Away from home, they have managed just one win in that stretch but have avoided defeat in three of the five.
Head-to-Head Record
Over the history of this fixture, Tijuana hold a slight edge with 7 away wins compared to FC Juarezโs 5 home wins, with 4 draws overall. Looking at the last five meetings, Tijuana have won twice, FC Juarez once, and two matches ended level. The most recent encounter on April 11, 2026 saw Tijuana win 2-1 at this same venue.
- Apr 11, 2026: FC Juarez 1โ2 Tijuana
- Nov 21, 2025: Tijuana 3โ1 FC Juarez
- Jul 26, 2025: Tijuana 1โ1 FC Juarez
- Feb 15, 2025: Tijuana 1โ2 FC Juarez
- Nov 7, 2024: FC Juarez 1โ1 Tijuana
League Table Positions
Tijuana sit 8th in the Liga MX overall standings with 14 points from 9 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, goals 14:13). FC Juarez are outside the top 12, indicating a lower position in the table with fewer points. At home, Tijuana rank 2nd with 12 points from 6 home matches, though FC Juarezโs home form is not strong enough to lift them into the top rankings.
Win Probability: FC Juarez or Tijuana?
Our probability calculation starts with the inverse of average bookmaker odds normalized to remove the margin. The raw odds implied a tight contest, but after adjusting for FC Juarez's poor recent form (1 win in 5), Tijuana's head-to-head advantage, and league standing, we assign the following outcome probabilities:
- FC Juarez win: 28%
- Draw: 31%
- Tijuana win: 41%
Even with home advantage, FC Juarezโs low confidence and poor defensive record tip the balance toward the visitors. Tijuana is the more likely winner, although the match could also easily end in a stalemate.
Odds & Match Prediction
Average odds across several bookmakers show FC Juarez around 2.88, a draw at 2.48, and Tijuana at 2.68. The lower away odds confirm that bookmakers see Tijuana as the favorite. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow Tijuana win. However, the draw probability remains significant, making the draw a realistic result as well.
FC Juarez vs Tijuana โ FAQ
- Who will win FC Juarez vs Tijuana?
- Our analysis gives Tijuana a 41% chance of winning, FC Juarez 28%, and a draw 31%. Therefore, Tijuana is the most likely to win the match.
- What is the win probability for Tijuana?
- Tijuana's win probability is 41%. This is based on their better league position (8th in Liga MX), superior recent head-to-head record, and the bookmaker odds which list them as favorites.
- When is the FC Juarez vs Tijuana match?
- The match is on October 11, 2026, at 00:00 (local time), at Estadio Olรญmpico Benito Juรกrez in Ciudad Juรกrez. It is a Liga MX fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Average odds across multiple bookmakers are 2.88 for a FC Juarez win, 2.48 for a draw, and 2.68 for a Tijuana win. These odds imply Tijuana is the favorite.