Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen prediction 27 October 2026
Borussia Dortmund
Werder BremenBorussia Dortmund
Eintracht FrankfurtSabah Baku FCBorussia DortmundUnion BerlinBorussia DortmundBodo/GlimtBorussia DortmundBorussia DortmundWerder BremenVfB StuttgartBorussia DortmundBorussia DortmundSC Paderborn 07Borussia DortmundVillarrealTSG 1899 HoffenheimBorussia DortmundHEBC Hamburg EimsbuttelerBorussia DortmundBorussia DortmundHamburger SVBorussia DortmundAS RomaArsenal FCBorussia DortmundTokyoBorussia DortmundCerezo OsakaBorussia DortmundMainz 05Werder BremenWerder BremenSC Paderborn 07Borussia DortmundWerder BremenTwenteWerder BremenWerder BremenAugsburgFC KolnWerder BremenWerder BremenRB LeipzigSC FreiburgWerder BremenWerder BremenSV MeppenLSK HansaWerder BremenHansa LuneburgWerder BremenWerder BremenAuxerreWerder BremenSC Paderborn 07Energie CottbusWerder BremenWerder BremenVfL Bochum| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.70 | 2.88 | 5.00 | |
| 1.67 | 2.88 | 5.50 | |
| 1.65 | 2.95 | 5.00 | |
| 1.62 | 2.88 | 5.40 | |
| 1.42 | 3.10 | 7.60 | |
| 1.35 | 3.00 | 5.25 |
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction for the Bundesliga clash on Oct 9, 2026, at Signal Iduna Park sees Borussia Dortmund as the clear favorite with a 60% win probability. The match kicks off at 19:30 local time, with the hosts aiming to extend their perfect league start.
Team Form
Borussia Dortmund are in relentless form, winning all five of their recent matches across all competitions. They beat VfB Stuttgart 1-0 away, SC Paderborn 07 3-0 at home, Villarreal 3-2 in the Champions League, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3-2 away, and HEBC Hamburg Eimsbutteler 5-0 in the DFB Pokal. The attack has scored 15 goals in that run, while the defense kept two clean sheets.
Werder Bremen's last five results are mixed: a 0-7 friendly loss at Twente, a 3-2 home win over Augsburg, a 1-1 draw at FC Koln, a 3-1 home win against RB Leipzig, and a 4-1 defeat at SC Freiburg. Excluding the friendly, their Bundesliga form reads two wins, one draw, and one loss, with eight goals scored and eight conceded.
Head-to-Head Record
In 26 previous meetings, Borussia Dortmund have won 12 times, Werder Bremen 5, with 9 draws. The last five encounters heavily favor Dortmund: four wins and one draw. The most recent match, on May 16, 2026, ended Werder Bremen 0-2 Borussia Dortmund. At Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund have won the last two H2H fixtures without conceding (3-0 in January 2026 and 1-0 in October 2023).
League Table Positions
Borussia Dortmund sit top of the Bundesliga with 12 points from 4 matches (4 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses), scoring 9 goals and conceding only 2. They are perfect at home: 2 wins, 5 goals scored, 0 conceded. Werder Bremen are 7th with 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), 8 goals for and 8 against. Their away record is not among the league's top eight, indicating vulnerability on the road.
Win Probability: Borussia Dortmund or Werder Bremen?
Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league standings, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Borussia Dortmund have a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Werder Bremen have a 15% chance. The bookmakers' implied probabilities (after removing the margin) gave Dortmund around 53%, but their perfect home form, dominant H2H, and Werder Bremen's inconsistent away performances justify an upward adjustment. Dortmund are clearly the more likely winners.
Odds & Match Prediction
Selected bookmaker odds for the 1X2 market show Borussia Dortmund at 1.65, the draw at 2.75, and Werder Bremen at 5.80. These odds reflect Dortmund's strong favorite status. Taking into account all available stats, our Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction is a home victory. Dortmund's defensive solidity at home and Bremen's travel struggles point towards a controlled win for the league leaders.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen โ FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
- Borussia Dortmund have a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Werder Bremen have a 15% chance. Dortmund's perfect form and dominant head-to-head record make them strong favorites.
- What is the win probability for Borussia Dortmund?
- Borussia Dortmund have a 60% win probability. This is based on their five-match winning streak, top position in the Bundesliga, and a H2H record that shows four wins in the last five meetings.
- When is the Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen match?
- The match is on Oct 9, 2026, at 19:30 local time. It is a Bundesliga fixture played at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund.
- What are the odds for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
- One bookmaker lists the odds as: Borussia Dortmund 1.65, draw 2.75, Werder Bremen 5.80. Other bookmakers show similar prices, all making Dortmund the clear favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between these teams?
- In 26 meetings, Borussia Dortmund have 12 wins, Werder Bremen 5, and 9 draws. The last five encounters ended with four Dortmund wins and one draw.