| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.50 | 5.80 | 1.82 | |
| 2.50 | 1.80 | ||
| 16.50 | 6.75 | 1.75 | |
| 15.00 | 6.50 | 1.73 | |
| 26.00 | 8.69 | 1.16 |
Sabail FC vs Zira prediction for the Azerbaijan Cup match on Oct 27 at 14:00 points to Zira as the likely favorite. Based on the available odds, head-to-head record and recent form, Sabail FC has a 22% chance of winning, the draw is at 31%, and Zira has a 47% chance.
Sabail FC come into this Cup tie with three wins, one draw and one loss in their last five matches (L-W-D-W-W). Their recent listed matches are in the 1 Division, including a 0-1 away defeat to Sahdag, a 3-1 away win over PFK Simurq Zaqatala, a 1-1 home draw with Karvan, a 1-0 away win at Baku Sporting and a 2-1 home win over Energetik Mingechevir.
Zira's last five results are W-D-D-L-D. They beat FK Sumqayit 3-2 at home, drew 1-1 away with FK Kapaz, drew 1-1 at home with Shamakhi FK, lost 0-1 away to Turan Tovuz and drew 1-1 at home with Qarabag. Those matches are in the Premyer Liqa, while Sabail FC's listed recent matches are in the 1 Division.
Zira dominate the overall head-to-head record: Sabail FC have 2 wins, there are 15 draws, and Zira have 27 wins. The last five listed meetings all went to Zira:
This H2H pattern strongly supports an away win in the betting.
Based on odds, team form, head-to-head record and home/away factor, Sabail FC has a 22% chance of winning, the draw is at 31%, and Zira has a 47% chance. The total equals 100%.
The bookmaker odds imply roughly a 25% home win, 33% draw and 42% away win before adjustments. Zira's 27-2 head-to-head advantage and their recent Premyer Liqa schedule push their probability higher. Sabail FC's home edge and three wins in their last five keep them competitive, but the H2H record and the league-level difference make Zira the most likely outcome.
The available 1X2 odds range from 3.40 to 4.12 for a Sabail FC win, 2.20 to 3.56 for the draw, and 1.91 to 2.45 for a Zira win. The shortest Zira price is 1.91, the shortest draw price is 2.20, and the shortest Sabail FC price is 3.40. Bookmakers see Zira as the favorite.
Match prediction: based on the stats, Zira are the more likely winner. The draw is a clear secondary possibility at 31%, while a Sabail FC win would require an upset given the H2H record.